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2. Bundesliga
Referee: A Aarnink
Holstein Kiel
S S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
55%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 3. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Hamburg 21 11 4 6 +12 37
3 Holstein Kiel 20 11 3 6 +8 36
4 Greuther Furth 20 10 5 5 +8 35
5 Hannover 21 9 7 5 +12 34
6 Paderborn 21 10 4 7 +1 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 5 7 +14 32
8 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
9 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
10 Karlsruhe 21 7 7 7 +0 28
11 Magdeburg 21 7 6 8 +3 27
12 Wehen 21 7 6 8 -2 27
13 Hertha 20 7 5 8 +4 26
14 Schalke 04 20 7 2 11 -8 23
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Kaiserslautern 21 6 3 12 -9 21
17 Hansa Rostock 20 6 2 12 -14 20
18 Osnabruck 20 1 8 11 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Holstein Kiel Schalke 04
40′
🟨 Derry Murkin
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ D. Churlinov
1–0 S. Skrzybski
M. Schulz
55′
63′
🔁 K. Topp
↦ S. Terodde
63′
🔁 T. Ouwejan
↦ D. Murkin
70′
🔁 B. Lasme
↦ B. Idrizi
70′
🔁 Y. Kabadayı
↦ H. Matriciani
Joshua Mees 🟨
75′
M. Ivezić 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
77′
L. Rosenboom 🔁
↦ S. Skrzybski
77′
79′
🟨 Tobias Mohr
M. Komenda 🔁
↦ T. Rothe
84′
90′
🟨 Yusuf Kabadayi
N. Niehoff 🔁
↦ J. Mees
92′
J. Sterner 🔁
↦ F. Porath
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

3-4-1-2
1 T. Weiner G
17 T. Becker D
4 P. Erras D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
8 F. Porath M
15 M. Schulz M
22 N. Remberg M
18 T. Rothe M
7 S. Skrzybski F
13 S. Machino F
27 J. Mees F
Bench (9)
6 M. Ivezić
23 L. Rosenboom
3 M. Komenda
29 N. Niehoff
32 J. Sterner
19 H. Friðjónsson
31 M. Engelhardt
2 M. Kirkeskov
21 T. Dähne

Coach: M. Rapp

Schalke 04

4-2-2-2
32 M. Müller G
41 H. Matriciani D
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
7 P. Seguin M
6 R. Schallenberg M
23 D. Churlinov M
18 B. Idrizi M
9 S. Terodde F
19 K. Karaman F
Bench (9)
29 T. Mohr
42 K. Topp
2 T. Ouwejan
11 B. Lasme
17 Y. Kabadayı
24 D. Drexler
8 D. Latza
25 T. Baumgartl
1 R. Fährmann

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,70
B
2,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Aarnink · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.