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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Ulm
T T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Braunschweig
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ulm 15. · Braunschweig 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Karlsruhe 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Magdeburg 6 3 3 0 +7 12
4 Paderborn 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Hamburg 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Greuther Furth 6 2 3 1 +4 9
9 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 +5 8
10 Kaiserslautern 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Elversberg 6 1 3 2 +1 6
13 Preußen Münster 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -6 5
15 Ulm 6 1 1 4 -2 4
16 Schalke 04 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 -10 4
18 Regensburg 6 1 0 5 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ulm Braunschweig
1–0 R. Rösch
14′
Philipp Strompf 🟨
22′
2–0 M. Krattenmacher
D. Chessa
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Marie
↦ M. Rittmüller
46′
🔁 L. Bell Bell
↦ F. Di Michele Sanchez
46′
🔁 L. Szabó
↦ R. Krauße
48′
🟨 Sven Köhler
49′
🟨 Paul Jaeckel
49′
🟨 Sven Köhler
49′
🟥 Sven Köhler
54′
🔁 N. Tauer
↦ P. Jaeckel
N. Thiede 🔁
↦ C. Ortag
66′
76′
L. Szabó 2–1
S. Polter
83′
🟨 Niklas Tauer
3–1 F. Higl
84′
L. Röser 🔁
↦ F. Higl
85′
L. Stoll 🔁
↦ B. Allgeier
85′
87′
🟨 Levente Szabó
88′
🔁 J. Gómez
↦ S. Polter
Lucas Röser 🟨
93′
A. Ludwig 🔁
↦ M. Brandt
98′
J. Nelson 🔁
↦ M. Krattenmacher
98′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-2-1
39 C. Ortag G
5 J. Reichert D
32 P. Strompf D
27 N. Kolbe D
7 B. Allgeier M
38 L. Hyryläinen M
23 M. Brandt M
43 R. Rösch M
11 D. Chessa F
30 M. Krattenmacher F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
1 N. Thiede
9 L. Röser
18 L. Stoll
10 A. Ludwig
13 J. Nelson
6 T. Geyer
44 N. Castelle
19 J. Meier
20 L. Ulrich

Coach: T. Wörle

Braunschweig

3-4-2-1
1 L. Grill G
3 P. Jaeckel D
6 E. Bičakčić D
5 R. Ivanov D
18 M. Rittmüller M
27 S. Köhler M
39 R. Krauße M
22 F. Di Michele Sanchez M
7 F. Kaufmann F
9 R. Philippe F
17 S. Polter F
Bench (9)
15 M. Marie
19 L. Bell Bell
11 L. Szabó
8 N. Tauer
44 J. Gómez
21 K. Ehlers
4 J. Nikolaou
32 C. Conteh
34 J. Duda

Coach: D. Scherning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,35
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.