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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Lechner

Paderborn

S S S S U

0–0

Full-time

Ulm

T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

67%

75%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 5. · Ulm 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+6	8
3	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Hertha	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Karlsruhe	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Elversberg	4	1	2	1	+3	5
11	FC Koln	3	1	1	1	+4	4
12	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-7	3
15	Preußen Münster	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	-8	1
17	Ulm	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Elversberg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Magdeburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Kaiserslautern	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Preußen Münster	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ulm	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Regensburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Preußen Münster	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.