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Eredivisie

Referee: E Blank

Heracles

T U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 29%

17%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

0,7

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 0,63

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 13. · Heerenveen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+19	+11.4	18
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	1	0	+6	+4.4	13
3	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+4	+0.7	13
4	Twente	6	3	2	1	+7	+7.2	11
5	Feyenoord	5	2	3	0	+6	+6.2	9
6	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+3	-0.8	9
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.7	9
8	Willem II	6	2	2	2	+3	-2.0	8
9	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	+4.1	7
10	Heerenveen	5	2	1	2	+2	+0.5	7
11	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	1	3	-4	+0.7	7
12	Nijmegen	6	2	0	4	-1	-3.6	6
13	Heracles	6	1	3	2	-4	-1.5	6
14	For Sittard	6	2	0	4	-6	-2.9	6
15	NAC Breda	6	2	0	4	-8	-5.6	6
16	Zwolle	6	1	1	4	-4	-4.3	4
17	Almere City	6	0	2	4	-15	-5.7	2
18	Waalwijk	6	0	0	6	-14	-7.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.8	9
2	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+3	+1.3	9
3	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.9	7
4	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.0	6
5	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.8	6
6	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+3	-0.0	5
8	Twente	3	1	2	0	+2	+6.2	5
9	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	+4.1	4
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.8	4
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
12	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.4	3
13	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.2	3
14	For Sittard	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.9	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.5	2
16	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.0	2
17	Almere City	4	0	1	3	-12	-2.2	1
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+5	+3.8	10
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.6	9
3	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.2	7
4	Twente	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.0	6
5	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+2.1	5
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
7	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
8	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.5	4
9	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.1	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
11	For Sittard	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.8	3
12	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.8	2
13	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
14	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.5	1
15	Almere City	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.5	1
16	Heerenveen	2	0	0	2	-3	-3.3	0
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.6	0
18	NAC Breda	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.