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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Schwengers

Elversberg

U S T S U

1–3

Full-time

Ulm

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,6

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 12. · Ulm 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Karlsruhe	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Paderborn	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Hamburg	6	3	2	1	+8	11
5	Magdeburg	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Greuther Furth	6	2	3	1	+4	9
9	FC Koln	6	2	2	2	+5	8
10	Kaiserslautern	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Elversberg	5	1	3	1	+3	6
13	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	-10	4
16	Regensburg	5	1	0	4	-12	3
17	Preußen Münster	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Ulm	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Karlsruhe	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Elversberg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	+3	3
9	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Magdeburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Kaiserslautern	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Preußen Münster	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Darmstadt	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Ulm	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Paderborn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Elversberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Ulm	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Schalke 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Braunschweig	3	0	1	2	-9	1
17	Preußen Münster	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Regensburg	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.