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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Karlsruhe
T T U T T
3–1
Full-time
Magdeburg
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
5,5
Scored
1,3
3,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
77%
77%
Both score Ø 78%
82%
73%
Average goals
3,7
3,6
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Karlsruhe 10. · Magdeburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 23 11 9 3 +22 42
2 FC Koln 22 12 4 6 +8 40
3 Kaiserslautern 23 11 6 6 +5 39
4 Magdeburg 22 10 8 4 +14 38
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 Paderborn 22 10 7 5 +8 37
7 Elversberg 22 10 5 7 +10 35
8 Nurnberg 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Hannover 22 9 7 6 +6 34
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 6 8 -2 30
11 Schalke 04 22 7 6 9 -2 27
12 Hertha 23 7 5 11 -4 26
13 Greuther Furth 22 7 5 10 -12 26
14 Darmstadt 22 6 7 9 +1 25
15 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -18 21
16 Preußen Münster 22 4 8 10 -8 20
17 Ulm 22 3 8 11 -6 17
18 Regensburg 22 4 3 15 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Magdeburg
30′
B. Atik 0–1
A. Nollenberger
Robin Heußer 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Musonda
↦ A. El-Zein
1–1 N. Rapp
M. Wanitzek
48′
2–1 C. Kobald
48′
61′
🔁 F. Michel
↦ S. Gnaka
L. Jensen 🔁
↦ R. Heußer
64′
3–1 M. Wanitzek
M. Kaufmann
69′
71′
🟨 Barış Atik
L. Ben Farhat 🔁
↦ M. Kaufmann
81′
85′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ L. Burcu
88′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
R. Pedrosa 🔁
↦ L. Günther
91′
R. Bormuth 🔁
↦ C. Kobald
92′
93′
🟨 Bryan Silva Teixeira
95′
🟨 Barış Atik
95′
🟥 Barış Atik
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

5-3-2
1 M. Weiß G
2 S. Jung D
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
29 L. Günther D
5 R. Heußer M
17 N. Rapp M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
14 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (9)
6 L. Jensen
19 L. Ben Farhat
32 R. Bormuth
36 R. Pedrosa
25 L. Egloff
16 L. Pfeiffer
30 R. Himmelmann
35 R. Geller
21 M. Wäschenbach

Coach: C. Eichner

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Müller D
11 M. El Hankouri M
25 S. Gnaka M
17 A. Nollenberger M
14 A. El-Zein M
29 L. Burcu F
9 M. Kaars F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
19 L. Musonda
21 F. Michel
8 Bryan Teixeira
30 N. Kruth
4 E. Džogović
34 T. Chahed
6 D. Stalmach
20 X. Amaechi
13 C. Krempicki

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,61
B
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.