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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Prigan
Magdeburg
U S S U S
3–4
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,7
2,7
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
75%
65%
Both score Ø 70%
75%
65%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 3. · Nurnberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 21 10 8 3 +19 38
2 FC Koln 20 11 4 5 +10 37
3 Magdeburg 20 9 8 3 +12 35
4 Kaiserslautern 20 10 5 5 +7 35
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 6 5 +7 33
6 Hannover 20 9 5 6 +6 32
7 Paderborn 20 8 7 5 +4 31
8 Karlsruhe 20 8 6 6 +1 30
9 Elversberg 20 8 5 7 +5 29
10 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 +1 28
11 Greuther Furth 21 7 5 9 -10 26
12 Darmstadt 20 6 7 7 +5 25
13 Hertha 20 7 4 9 -2 25
14 Schalke 04 20 6 6 8 -2 24
15 Preußen Münster 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Ulm 20 3 8 9 -2 17
17 Braunschweig 20 3 6 11 -21 15
18 Regensburg 21 4 2 15 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Nurnberg
5′
O. Karafiát 0–1
J. Justvan
1–1 M. Mathisen
27′
30′
R. Knoche 1–2
33′
J. Hugonet 2–2
own goal
42′
🟨 Jens Castrop
Half-time 2–2
A. Ahl-Holmström 🔁
↦ F. Michel
46′
Marcus Mathisen 🟨
52′
59′
🟨 Berkay Yılmaz
69′
🔁 Danilo Soares
↦ B. Yılmaz
70′
🔁 J. Antiste
↦ J. Castrop
3–2 M. Kaars
L. Burcu
72′
77′
🟨 Oliver Villadsen
4–2 J. Hugonet
78′
P. Pfeiffer 🔁
↦ D. Heber
79′
84′
🔁 F. Gruber
↦ O. Villadsen
S. Loric 🔁
↦ P. Hercher
90′
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ L. Burcu
90′
90′
🔁 F. Flick
↦ S. Tzimas
94′
J. Justvan 4–3
J. Antiste
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
27 P. Hercher M
25 S. Gnaka M
17 A. Nollenberger M
21 F. Michel M
29 L. Burcu F
9 M. Kaars F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
12 A. Ahl-Holmström
3 P. Pfeiffer
2 S. Loric
8 Bryan Teixeira
5 T. Müller
30 N. Kruth
14 A. El-Zein
20 X. Amaechi
13 C. Krempicki

Coach: C. Titz

Nurnberg

3-4-2-1
1 J. Reichert G
5 T. Drexler D
31 R. Knoche D
44 O. Karafiát D
2 O. Villadsen M
20 C. Jander M
18 R. Lubach M
21 B. Yılmaz M
10 J. Justvan F
17 J. Castrop F
9 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
3 Danilo Soares
28 J. Antiste
4 F. Gruber
6 F. Flick
35 S. Joachims
32 T. Janisch
30 M. Emreli
26 C. Mathenia
33 N. Seidel

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U
3,80
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.