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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Cittadella
T S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Modena
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
58%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 6
20 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 11. · Modena 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Pisa 26 15 7 4 +17 52
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 26 11 8 7 +11 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 26 10 9 7 +2 39
7 Bari 26 7 13 6 +3 34
8 Cesena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
9 Palermo 26 8 8 10 +2 32
10 Modena 26 6 13 7 +0 31
11 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
12 Carrarese 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
14 Reggiana 26 7 8 11 -5 29
15 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
16 Mantova 26 6 11 9 -8 29
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 26 5 10 11 -10 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 26 4 11 11 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Modena
5′
🟨 Luca Magnino
Francesco D'Alessio 🟨
20′
27′
G. Caso 0–1
F. Gerli
N. Pavan 🔁
↦ E. Capradossi
29′
Half-time 0–1
A. Tessiore 🔁
↦ F. DAlessio
46′
R. Palmieri 🔁
↦ F. Casolari
46′
62′
🔁 S. Vulikić
↦ C. Cauz
A. Salvi 🔁
↦ A. Rizza
63′
63′
🔁 S. Santoro
↦ T. Battistella
63′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ G. Defrel
J. Desogus 🔁
↦ E. Matino
71′
73′
🟨 Matteo Cotali
80′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ E. Duca
85′
🔁 Pedro Mendes
↦ G. Caso
86′
Pedro Mendes 0–2
E. Gliozzi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-2
78 L. Maniero G
24 L. Carissoni D
13 E. Capradossi D
6 E. Matino D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
8 F. Amatucci M
5 F. Casolari M
28 A. Rizza M
31 O. Okwonkwo F
7 L. Pandolfi F
Bench (10)
26 N. Pavan
18 A. Tessiore
37 R. Palmieri
2 A. Salvi
11 J. Desogus
74 A. Sanogo
21 S. Rabbi
35 S. Piccinini
45 M. Cardinali
20 D. Voltan

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Modena

3-5-2
26 R. Gagno G
25 A. Dellavalle D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
6 L. Magnino M
5 T. Battistella M
16 F. Gerli M
7 E. Duca M
29 M. Cotali M
20 G. Caso F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (11)
14 S. Vulikić
8 S. Santoro
9 E. Gliozzi
21 K. Bozhanaj
11 Pedro Mendes
1 A. Seculin
27 R. Idrissi
24 M. Oliva
23 M. Caldara
93 I. Kamate
78 F. Bagheria

Coach: P. Mandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,99
U
2,88
B ✓
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.