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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Szczerbowicz

Widzew Lodz

T S T U T

0–4

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 43%

33%

52%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 48%

57%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 11. · Pogon Szczecin 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	22	12	7	3	+15	+11.6	43
2	Lech Poznan	21	13	2	6	+20	+10.9	41
3	Jagiellonia	21	12	5	4	+14	-0.1	41
4	Legia	21	10	6	5	+14	+10.2	36
5	Pogon Szczecin	21	11	3	7	+9	+9.1	36
6	Cracovia	21	9	7	5	+8	+0.2	34
7	Gornik Zabrze	22	10	4	8	+3	+3.1	34
8	GKS Katowice	21	8	6	7	+4	+0.9	30
9	Piast Gliwice	22	7	9	6	+3	-1.7	30
10	Motor Lublin	21	8	5	8	-7	-1.5	29
11	Widzew Lodz	21	7	5	9	-7	-3.2	26
12	Korona Kielce	22	6	8	8	-9	-4.7	26
13	Stal Mielec	22	6	5	11	-6	+3.9	23
14	Zaglebie	21	6	4	11	-13	-7.1	22
15	Radomiak Radom	21	6	3	12	-9	-0.6	21
16	Lechia Gdansk	21	5	6	10	-12	-16.2	21
17	Puszcza	21	4	7	10	-12	-10.7	19
18	Slask Wroclaw	22	2	8	12	-15	-4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.1	28
2	Lech Poznan	11	9	0	2	+19	+9.3	27
3	Jagiellonia	11	7	3	1	+14	+4.4	24
4	Legia	11	7	2	2	+13	+8.2	23
5	Gornik Zabrze	11	6	2	3	+5	+5.3	20
6	Rakow	11	5	3	3	+6	+6.9	18
7	Stal Mielec	11	5	3	3	+3	+8.0	18
8	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	-0.6	17
9	GKS Katowice	11	4	4	3	+4	-1.8	16
10	Piast Gliwice	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.6	15
11	Motor Lublin	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.3	15
12	Cracovia	11	3	5	3	+1	+1.0	14
13	Korona Kielce	11	4	2	5	-2	+1.7	14
14	Puszcza	10	3	4	3	-1	-2.7	13
15	Zaglebie	10	4	1	5	-3	-1.8	13
16	Radomiak Radom	10	3	3	4	+2	+3.0	12
17	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-6	-9.6	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	11	2	4	5	-3	-1.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	7	4	0	+9	+4.7	25
2	Cracovia	10	6	2	2	+7	-0.8	20
3	Jagiellonia	10	5	2	3	+0	-4.5	17
4	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+1	-1.0	15
5	Lech Poznan	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.6	14
6	GKS Katowice	10	4	2	4	+0	+2.7	14
7	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	2	5	-2	-2.1	14
8	Motor Lublin	11	4	2	5	-7	-1.2	14
9	Legia	10	3	4	3	+1	+2.0	13
10	Korona Kielce	11	2	6	3	-7	-6.4	12
11	Lechia Gdansk	11	2	4	5	-6	-6.6	10
12	Widzew Lodz	11	2	3	6	-9	-2.6	9
13	Zaglebie	11	2	3	6	-10	-5.3	9
14	Radomiak Radom	11	3	0	8	-11	-3.6	9
15	Pogon Szczecin	10	2	2	6	-5	-1.0	8
16	Puszcza	11	1	3	7	-11	-8.0	6
17	Stal Mielec	11	1	2	8	-9	-4.1	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	11	0	4	7	-12	-3.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.