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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Samsunspor
U S T S S
2–3
Full-time
Rizespor
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
61%
35%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
48%
61%
Both score Ø 46%
35%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,76 xG 1,06
47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Samsunspor 3. · Rizespor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 23 20 3 0 +36 +23.7 63
2 Fenerbahce 23 18 3 2 +37 +28.5 57
3 Samsunspor 23 14 4 5 +14 +10.3 46
4 Besiktas 23 11 8 4 +13 +10.8 41
5 Eyüpspor 24 11 7 6 +12 +0.3 40
6 Goztep 22 10 5 7 +13 +14.2 35
7 Buyuksehyr 23 9 6 8 +8 +6.7 33
8 Kasimpasa 24 7 10 7 -5 -0.3 31
9 Antalyaspor 24 8 6 10 -15 -11.3 30
10 Trabzonspor 22 7 8 7 +10 -2.8 29
11 Gaziantep 22 8 5 9 -2 -6.3 29
12 Alanyaspor 23 7 7 9 -6 -2.9 28
13 Rizespor 23 8 3 12 -12 +3.9 27
14 Konyaspor 24 6 7 11 -8 -7.4 25
15 Sivasspor 24 6 6 12 -12 -16.1 24
16 Bodrumspor 24 6 5 13 -12 -3.6 23
17 Kayserispor 22 4 9 9 -19 -5.7 21
18 Hatayspor 24 2 7 15 -19 -18.7 13
19 Ad. Demirspor 23 2 3 18 -33 -23.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U
3,44
B ✓
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.