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Ligue 2

Referee: R Lissorgue

Metz

S S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

52%

35%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

39%

Both score Ø 39%

48%

30%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

76% Possession 24%

18 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 4. · Ajaccio 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	24	15	4	5	+18	49
2	Paris FC	24	14	4	6	+15	46
3	Dunkerque	24	14	3	7	+11	45
4	Metz	23	12	8	3	+21	44
5	Guingamp	24	12	3	9	+10	39
6	Annecy	24	11	6	7	+1	39
7	Laval	24	10	7	7	+8	37
8	Grenoble	24	10	5	9	+2	35
9	Bastia	24	7	13	4	+7	34
10	Pau FC	24	7	9	8	-6	30
11	Amiens	24	9	3	12	-11	30
12	Rodez	24	7	6	11	+0	27
13	Troyes	24	8	3	13	-2	27
14	Ajaccio	23	8	3	12	-9	27
15	Red Star	24	7	5	12	-16	26
16	Clermont	24	6	7	11	-10	25
17	Martigues	24	6	3	15	-23	21
18	Caen	24	4	4	16	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	12	10	1	1	+18	31
2	Dunkerque	13	10	0	3	+11	30
3	Metz	12	8	4	0	+18	28
4	Paris FC	12	8	2	2	+10	26
5	Grenoble	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Amiens	12	7	2	3	+2	23
7	Bastia	12	5	7	0	+9	22
8	Annecy	11	7	1	3	+5	22
9	Guingamp	12	6	2	4	+10	20
10	Ajaccio	12	6	2	4	+3	20
11	Pau FC	11	5	4	2	+2	19
12	Laval	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Troyes	11	4	2	5	+2	14
14	Rodez	12	4	2	6	-3	14
15	Red Star	11	4	2	5	-6	14
16	Clermont	12	2	6	4	+0	12
17	Caen	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Martigues	13	2	1	10	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	12	6	2	4	+5	20
2	Laval	13	5	4	4	+4	19
3	Guingamp	12	6	1	5	+0	19
4	Lorient	12	5	3	4	+0	18
5	Annecy	13	4	5	4	-4	17
6	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Dunkerque	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Martigues	11	4	2	5	-10	14
9	Rodez	12	3	4	5	+3	13
10	Troyes	13	4	1	8	-4	13
11	Clermont	12	4	1	7	-10	13
12	Bastia	12	2	6	4	-2	12
13	Red Star	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Pau FC	13	2	5	6	-8	11
15	Grenoble	11	3	1	7	-6	10
16	Ajaccio	11	2	1	8	-12	7
17	Amiens	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Caen	11	1	1	9	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.