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Serie B

Referee: G Scatena

Mantova

S U T T U

0–1

Full-time

Bari

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 25%

23%

27%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

50%

31%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

54%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 16. · Bari 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	27	19	5	3	+33	62
2	Pisa	26	15	7	4	+17	52
3	Spezia	26	13	11	2	+23	50
4	Cremonese	26	11	8	7	+11	41
5	Catanzaro	26	8	15	3	+8	39
6	Juve Stabia	26	10	9	7	+2	39
7	Bari	26	7	13	6	+3	34
8	Cesena	26	9	7	10	-1	34
9	Palermo	26	8	8	10	+2	32
10	Modena	26	6	13	7	+0	31
11	Cittadella	26	8	7	11	-14	31
12	Carrarese	26	8	6	12	-9	30
13	Brescia	26	6	11	9	-5	29
14	Reggiana	26	7	8	11	-5	29
15	Sampdoria	27	6	11	10	-7	29
16	Mantova	26	6	11	9	-8	29
17	Sudtirol	26	8	4	14	-12	28
18	Cosenza	26	5	10	11	-10	25
19	Salernitana	26	6	7	13	-11	25
20	Frosinone	26	4	11	11	-17	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	13	11	1	1	+22	34
2	Pisa	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Spezia	12	8	4	0	+15	28
4	Catanzaro	14	6	6	2	+8	24
5	Juve Stabia	13	7	3	3	+5	24
6	Carrarese	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Cesena	13	6	5	2	+6	23
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+4	22
9	Modena	13	5	6	2	+6	21
10	Cremonese	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Palermo	13	5	4	4	+4	19
12	Mantova	12	5	4	3	+0	19
13	Salernitana	13	5	3	5	+0	18
14	Sampdoria	14	4	5	5	-1	17
15	Reggiana	13	4	4	5	-1	16
16	Brescia	13	3	6	4	+0	15
17	Cosenza	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Sudtirol	13	4	3	6	-5	15
19	Frosinone	14	2	7	5	-8	13
20	Cittadella	12	2	6	4	-3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Spezia	14	5	7	2	+8	22
3	Pisa	13	6	4	3	+3	22
4	Cremonese	13	6	3	4	+9	21
5	Cittadella	14	6	1	7	-11	19
6	Catanzaro	12	2	9	1	+0	15
7	Juve Stabia	13	3	6	4	-3	15
8	Brescia	13	3	5	5	-5	14
9	Palermo	13	3	4	6	-2	13
10	Reggiana	13	3	4	6	-4	13
11	Sudtirol	13	4	1	8	-7	13
12	Bari	12	2	6	4	-1	12
13	Sampdoria	13	2	6	5	-6	12
14	Cesena	13	3	2	8	-7	11
15	Modena	13	1	7	5	-6	10
16	Mantova	14	1	7	6	-8	10
17	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-8	10
18	Frosinone	12	2	4	6	-9	10
19	Salernitana	13	1	4	8	-11	7
20	Carrarese	13	1	3	9	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.