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2. Bundesliga

Referee: N Winter

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Regensburg

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

40%

16%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

60%

44%

Both score Ø 44%

64%

24%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,6

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 9. · Regensburg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	26	13	9	4	+26	48
2	FC Koln	25	13	5	7	+8	44
3	Kaiserslautern	25	12	7	6	+8	43
4	Magdeburg	26	11	9	6	+12	42
5	Paderborn	25	11	9	5	+10	42
6	Hannover	26	11	9	6	+8	42
7	Elversberg	25	11	7	7	+14	40
8	Nurnberg	25	11	5	9	+4	38
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	10	8	7	+4	38
10	Karlsruhe	25	10	6	9	-2	36
11	Schalke 04	26	9	6	11	-3	33
12	Greuther Furth	25	9	6	10	-8	33
13	Darmstadt	25	8	7	10	+3	31
14	Hertha	25	7	5	13	-9	26
15	Preußen Münster	25	5	8	12	-8	23
16	Braunschweig	25	5	8	12	-21	23
17	Ulm	25	3	10	12	-7	19
18	Regensburg	25	4	4	17	-39	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	13	7	6	0	+22	27
2	Hannover	13	7	5	1	+9	26
3	Kaiserslautern	13	6	5	2	+9	23
4	Elversberg	13	7	2	4	+6	23
5	Nurnberg	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	FC Koln	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Paderborn	12	6	2	4	+6	20
8	Karlsruhe	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+8	19
10	Greuther Furth	13	5	3	5	-4	18
11	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-2	17
12	Braunschweig	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Regensburg	13	4	3	6	-8	15
15	Preußen Münster	13	3	4	6	-2	13
16	Magdeburg	13	2	7	4	-3	13
17	Ulm	12	2	4	6	-1	10
18	Hertha	12	2	2	8	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	13	9	2	2	+15	29
2	FC Koln	13	7	2	4	-1	23
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	4	2	+6	22
4	Paderborn	13	5	7	1	+4	22
5	Hamburg	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Kaiserslautern	12	6	2	4	-1	20
7	Hertha	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Elversberg	12	4	5	3	+8	17
9	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-1	16
10	Hannover	13	4	4	5	-1	16
11	Karlsruhe	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Nurnberg	13	4	3	6	-2	15
13	Greuther Furth	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Darmstadt	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Preußen Münster	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Ulm	13	1	6	6	-6	9
17	Braunschweig	13	1	4	8	-21	7
18	Regensburg	12	0	1	11	-31	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.