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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
FC Koln
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 2. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 23 11 9 3 +22 42
2 FC Koln 22 12 4 6 +8 40
3 Kaiserslautern 23 11 6 6 +5 39
4 Magdeburg 23 10 8 5 +12 38
5 Paderborn 23 10 8 5 +8 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 10 7 5 +8 37
7 Elversberg 23 10 6 7 +10 36
8 Hannover 23 9 8 6 +6 35
9 Nurnberg 23 10 5 8 +4 35
10 Karlsruhe 23 9 6 8 +0 33
11 Schalke 04 22 7 6 9 -2 27
12 Hertha 23 7 5 11 -4 26
13 Greuther Furth 22 7 5 10 -12 26
14 Darmstadt 22 6 7 9 +1 25
15 Preußen Münster 23 5 8 10 -6 23
16 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -18 21
17 Ulm 23 3 9 11 -6 18
18 Regensburg 23 4 3 16 -36 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Fortuna Dusseldorf
7′
🟨 Moritz Heyer
Half-time 0–0
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ M. Olesen
46′
D. Downs 🔁
↦ I. Rondić
56′
62′
🔁 D. Schmidt
↦ S. Appelkamp
62′
🔁 M. Kwarteng
↦ M. van Brederode
1–0 F. Kainz
L. Maina
67′
70′
🟨 Dawid Kownacki
72′
🟨 Giovanni Haag
72′
🟨 Jamil Siebert
75′
🔁 A. Hoffmann
↦ J. Siebert
75′
🔁 V. Vermeij
↦ D. Kownacki
75′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ D. Pejčinović
Leart Paqarada 🟨
79′
Linton Maina 🟨
87′
N. Telle 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
89′
90′
Í. Jóhannesson 1–1
S. Tigges 🔁
↦ J. Schmied
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schwäbe G
4 T. Hübers D
2 J. Schmied D
3 D. Heintz D
25 J. Gazibegović M
47 M. Olesen M
11 F. Kainz M
17 L. Paqarada M
7 D. Ljubičić F
37 L. Maina F
27 I. Rondić F
Bench (9)
9 L. Waldschmidt
42 D. Downs
49 N. Telle
21 S. Tigges
26 A. Racioppi
8 D. Huseinbašić
35 M. Finkgräfe
46 E. Kujović
16 M. Obuz

Coach: G. Struber

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson D
15 T. Oberdorf D
20 J. Siebert D
5 M. Heyer D
6 G. Haag M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
23 S. Appelkamp M
7 D. Pejčinović M
10 M. van Brederode M
24 D. Kownacki F
Bench (8)
22 D. Schmidt
11 M. Kwarteng
3 A. Hoffmann
9 V. Vermeij
18 J. Niemiec
26 F. Schock
34 N. Gavory
25 M. Zimmermann

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U ✓
3,70
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.