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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Kampka

Paderborn

S U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

61%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

68%

61%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

23 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 6. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	29	14	10	5	+27	52
2	FC Koln	29	15	6	8	+9	51
3	Elversberg	29	13	8	8	+21	47
4	Magdeburg	29	12	10	7	+13	46
5	Kaiserslautern	29	13	7	9	+5	46
6	Paderborn	28	12	9	7	+10	45
7	Nurnberg	29	13	5	11	+4	44
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	12	8	8	+4	44
9	Hannover	29	11	10	8	+5	43
10	Karlsruhe	28	11	7	10	-3	40
11	Schalke 04	28	10	7	11	-2	37
12	Hertha	29	10	6	13	-2	36
13	Darmstadt	29	9	8	12	+2	35
14	Greuther Furth	29	9	8	12	-12	35
15	Braunschweig	29	7	9	13	-22	30
16	Preußen Münster	28	6	9	13	-8	27
17	Ulm	29	5	11	13	-6	26
18	Regensburg	28	5	4	19	-45	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	7	7	1	+20	28
2	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+7	27
3	Elversberg	15	8	2	5	+11	26
4	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+10	26
5	Nurnberg	14	8	2	4	+6	26
6	FC Koln	14	7	3	4	+9	24
7	Karlsruhe	14	7	3	4	+3	24
8	Paderborn	14	7	2	5	+7	23
9	Darmstadt	14	6	4	4	+9	22
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Schalke 04	14	6	2	6	-1	20
12	Greuther Furth	15	5	5	5	-4	20
13	Braunschweig	14	5	4	5	-3	19
14	Regensburg	14	5	3	6	-7	18
15	Ulm	14	4	4	6	+1	16
16	Magdeburg	14	3	7	4	-1	16
17	Preußen Münster	14	3	5	6	-2	14
18	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	15	9	3	3	+14	30
2	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+0	27
3	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+7	24
4	Hertha	15	7	3	5	+3	24
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	4	3	+4	22
6	Paderborn	14	5	7	2	+3	22
7	Elversberg	14	5	6	3	+10	21
8	Kaiserslautern	14	6	2	6	-5	20
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-2	18
10	Schalke 04	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Hannover	14	4	4	6	-2	16
12	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	-6	16
13	Greuther Furth	14	4	3	7	-8	15
14	Preußen Münster	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Darmstadt	15	3	4	8	-7	13
16	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-19	11
17	Ulm	15	1	7	7	-7	10
18	Regensburg	14	0	1	13	-38	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.