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2. Bundesliga

Referee: L Benen

Schalke 04

T S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Ulm

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 24%

33%

15%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

67%

41%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Ulm 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	28	14	10	4	+29	52
2	FC Koln	28	15	5	8	+9	50
3	Kaiserslautern	27	13	7	7	+8	46
4	Paderborn	28	12	9	7	+10	45
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	12	8	8	+4	44
6	Magdeburg	27	11	10	6	+12	43
7	Hannover	28	11	10	7	+7	43
8	Elversberg	27	11	8	8	+13	41
9	Nurnberg	28	12	5	11	+3	41
10	Karlsruhe	28	11	7	10	-3	40
11	Hertha	28	10	5	13	-2	35
12	Darmstadt	28	9	7	12	+2	34
13	Schalke 04	27	9	7	11	-3	34
14	Greuther Furth	28	9	7	12	-12	34
15	Preußen Münster	28	6	9	13	-8	27
16	Braunschweig	28	6	9	13	-24	27
17	Ulm	27	4	11	12	-6	23
18	Regensburg	27	5	4	18	-39	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	14	7	7	0	+22	28
2	Hannover	14	7	6	1	+9	27
3	Kaiserslautern	14	7	5	2	+11	26
4	Nurnberg	14	8	2	4	+6	26
5	FC Koln	14	7	3	4	+9	24
6	Karlsruhe	14	7	3	4	+3	24
7	Paderborn	14	7	2	5	+7	23
8	Elversberg	14	7	2	5	+5	23
9	Darmstadt	14	6	4	4	+9	22
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Braunschweig	14	5	4	5	-3	19
12	Greuther Furth	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	Regensburg	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-2	17
15	Preußen Münster	14	3	5	6	-2	14
16	Ulm	13	3	4	6	+0	13
17	Magdeburg	13	2	7	4	-3	13
18	Hertha	13	3	2	8	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	FC Koln	14	8	2	4	+0	26
3	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+7	24
4	Hertha	15	7	3	5	+3	24
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	4	3	+4	22
6	Paderborn	14	5	7	2	+3	22
7	Kaiserslautern	13	6	2	5	-3	20
8	Elversberg	13	4	6	3	+8	18
9	Schalke 04	14	4	5	5	-1	17
10	Hannover	14	4	4	6	-2	16
11	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Nurnberg	14	4	3	7	-3	15
13	Greuther Furth	14	4	3	7	-8	15
14	Preußen Münster	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Darmstadt	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Ulm	14	1	7	6	-6	10
17	Braunschweig	14	1	5	8	-21	8
18	Regensburg	13	0	1	12	-32	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.