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DFB-Pokal
Referee: P Alt
Illertissen
T T
3–3
Full-time
Nurnberg
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Illertissen Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

22% Possession 78%
6 Shots 37
3 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 13
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
26 Free kicks against 16
7 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Illertissen Nurnberg
1–0 D. Milic ⚽
D. Hausmann
2′
2–0 Y. Glessing ⚽
D. Hausmann
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Stepanov
↦ R. Knoche
46′
🔁 C. Jander
↦ T. Janisch
Marco Hingerl 🟨
53′
64′
🔁 N. Maboulou
↦ M. Biron
65′
⚽ B. Yilmaz 2–1
C. Jander
T. Ruhle 🔁
↦ D. Milic
66′
C. Irigoyen 🔁
↦ D. Hausmann
77′
R. Muth 🔁
↦ M. Golz
77′
78′
⚽ A. Stepanov 2–2
B. Yilmaz
Tobias Rühle 🟨
85′
86′
⚽ S. Telalovic 2–3
D. Gerstmayer 🔁
↦ M. Hingerl
89′
3–3 T. Ruhle ⚽
M. Cocic
90′
91′
🔁 O. Karafiat
↦ H. Koudossou
Max Zeller 🟨
94′
100′
🟨 Noah Le Bret Maboulou
P. Ekinci 🔁
↦ N. Embaye
100′
Yannick Glessing 🟨
109′
109′
🟨 Semir Telalović
Michel Witte 🟨
116′
Maximilian Neuberger 🟨
117′
Eduard Heckmann 🟨
120′
122′
🟨 Christian Mathenia
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Illertissen

4-2-3-1
1 M. Witte
23 E. Heckmann
38 M. Neuberger D
2 M. Zeller D
11 M. Golz
6 N. Embaye
25 M. Hingerl
8 M. Cocic M
13 D. Hausmann
21 D. Milic
7 Y. Glessing F
Bench (9)
34 M. Zok
15 P. Ekinci
20 C. Irigoyen
10 R. Muth
19 D. Gerstmayer
24 N. Helbock
14 U. Micic
17 L. Petrovic
31 T. Ruhle

Coach: Holger Bachthaler

Nurnberg

3-5-2
26 C. Mathenia G
4 F. Gruber D
31 R. Knoche D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
32 T. Janisch M
17 A. Chaikhoun M
18 R. Lubach M
21 B. Yilmaz M
8 H. Koudossou M
7 M. Biron F
9 S. Telalovic F
Bench (9)
1 J. Reichert
3 Danilo Soares
6 F. Flick
11 A. Stepanov
20 C. Jander
28 T. Buchmann
37 N. Maboulou
38 W. Osawe
44 O. Karafiat

Coach: Miroslav Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.