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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Ulm
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
45%
42%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ulm 17. · Preußen Münster 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 33 16 11 6 +35 59
2 FC Koln 33 17 7 9 +11 58
3 Elversberg 33 15 10 8 +26 55
4 Paderborn 33 15 10 8 +13 55
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 14 11 8 +7 53
6 Kaiserslautern 33 15 8 10 +5 53
7 Magdeburg 33 13 11 9 +10 50
8 Hannover 33 13 11 9 +5 50
9 Karlsruhe 33 13 10 10 -1 49
10 Nurnberg 33 13 6 14 +0 45
11 Hertha 33 12 7 14 -2 43
12 Darmstadt 33 10 9 14 -1 39
13 Schalke 04 33 10 8 15 -9 38
14 Greuther Furth 33 9 9 15 -15 36
15 Preußen Münster 33 8 11 14 -3 35
16 Braunschweig 33 8 11 14 -23 35
17 Ulm 33 6 11 16 -12 29
18 Regensburg 33 6 7 20 -46 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ulm Preußen Münster
5′
🟨 Niko Koulis
1–0 S. Telalović
F. Higl
10′
37′
🟨 Charalambos Makridis
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. Bouchama
↦ N. Koulis
46′
🔁 M. Kirkeskov
↦ F. Pick
54′
Y. Bouchama 1–1
L. Röser 🔁
↦ F. Higl
62′
O. Batista Meier 🔁
↦ M. Krattenmacher
62′
63′
🟨 Daniel Kyerewaa
71′
🟨 Jorrit Hendrix
74′
🟨 Luca Bazzoli
75′
D. Kyerewaa 1–2
76′
🔁 D. Schad
↦ D. Kyerewaa
76′
🔁 M. Batmaz
↦ M. Lorenz
A. Ludwig 🔁
↦ M. Brandt
79′
L. Stoll 🔁
↦ R. Rösch
79′
2–2 L. Röser
L. Stoll
85′
J. Reichert 🔁
↦ T. Geyer
88′
89′
🔁 S. Scherder
↦ R. Preißinger
Dennis Dressel 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-1-2
39 C. Ortag G
7 B. Allgeier D
6 T. Geyer D
32 P. Strompf D
43 R. Rösch M
23 M. Brandt M
14 D. Dressel M
11 D. Chessa M
30 M. Krattenmacher F
29 S. Telalović F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
9 L. Röser
21 O. Batista Meier
10 A. Ludwig
18 L. Stoll
5 J. Reichert
19 J. Meier
13 R. Leipertz
22 A. Kahvić
12 M. Seybold

Coach: R. Lechleiter

Preußen Münster

3-4-2-1
1 J. Schenk G
10 S. Mrowca D
32 L. Bazzoli D
24 N. Koulis D
7 D. Kyerewaa M
20 J. Hendrix M
21 R. Preißinger M
14 C. Makridis M
13 F. Pick F
18 M. Lorenz F
30 E. Amenyido F
Bench (9)
5 Y. Bouchama
2 M. Kirkeskov
22 D. Schad
23 M. Batmaz
15 S. Scherder
26 M. Behrens
4 D. Kinsombi
31 H. Friðjónsson
16 T. Paetow

Coach: K. Schulze-Marmeling

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U ✓
3,72
B
1,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.