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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Caen
T S S U T
2–0
Full-time
Amiens
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
52%
26%
Both score Ø 44%
52%
35%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 7. · Amiens 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 24 13 8 3 +23 47
2 Angers 24 14 4 6 +15 46
3 Grenoble 23 10 10 3 +12 40
4 Laval 23 11 6 6 +3 39
5 Amiens 23 9 8 6 -1 35
6 Pau FC 23 8 9 6 +1 33
7 Caen 23 9 6 8 +0 33
8 Ajaccio 23 9 6 8 -2 33
9 Guingamp 23 8 8 7 +5 32
10 Paris FC 23 9 5 9 +1 32
11 St Etienne 23 9 5 9 -1 32
12 Rodez 23 8 7 8 +1 31
13 Bordeaux 23 8 5 10 -5 29
14 Concarneau 23 8 4 11 -8 28
15 Troyes 23 6 9 8 -1 27
16 Bastia 23 7 6 10 -2 27
17 Annecy 23 5 8 10 -5 23
18 Dunkerque 23 6 5 12 -15 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 23 4 9 10 -4 21
20 Valenciennes 23 2 8 13 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Amiens
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Kylian Kaiboue
Ali Abdi 🟨
59′
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
62′
Mathias Autret 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 M. Chouiar
↦ A. Carroll
M. Autret 🔁
↦ A. Salama
71′
78′
🟨 Frank Boya
1–0 A. Abdi
M. Autret
81′
2–0 Alexandre Mendy
B. Brahimi
84′
85′
🔁 J. Gélin
↦ F. Boya
85′
🔁 J. Lahne
↦ M. Do Couto
85′
🔁 A. Ouhatti
↦ O. Géne
D. Debohi 🔁
↦ G. Kyeremeh
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Caen

4-3-3
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
17 G. Kyeremeh M
6 Q. Daubin M
20 N. Lebreton M
11 M. Le Bihan F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
15 A. Salama F
Bench (7)
21 B. Brahimi
23 M. Autret
97 D. Debohi
5 S. Ben Youssef
27 D. Meddah
22 M. Hafid
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: N. Seube

Amiens

4-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
5 O. Urhoghide D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
20 K. Kaïboué D
7 A. Léautey M
29 F. Boya M
25 O. Géne M
11 M. Do Couto M
99 A. Carroll F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
17 M. Chouiar
24 J. Gélin
37 J. Lahne
55 A. Ouhatti
26 A. Amraoui
16 A. Sauvage
4 N. Opoku

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,20
B
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.