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Ligue 2
Referee: R Chapapria
Troyes
U U S U T
0–1
Full-time
Clermont
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Clermont
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 18. · Clermont 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Ajaccio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Pau FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Laval 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Martigues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Caen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Dunkerque 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Clermont
23′
H. Saivet 0–1
38′
🟨 Habib Keita
Half-time 0–1
53′
🔁 J. Isala
↦ D. Da Silva
61′
🔁 Y. Magnin
↦ Y. Diaby
A. Bruus 🔁
↦ M. Hamdi
62′
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ M. Diop
69′
R. Ripart 🔁
↦ C. Irié
69′
X. Chavalerin 🔁
↦ J. Assoumou
82′
I. Traoré 🔁
↦ I. Boura
83′
83′
🔁 M. Douane
↦ M. Bassouamina
83′
🔁 A. Saïd
↦ H. Keïta
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Boucher G
14 I. Boura D
6 A. Monfray D
4 J. Diaz D
18 M. Hamdi D
42 A. Kanté M
8 M. Diop M
21 C. Irié M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
15 J. Assoumou F
Bench (7)
19 A. Bruus
12 N. de Préville
20 R. Ripart
7 X. Chavalerin
34 I. Traoré
30 C. Michel
37 T. Akpakoun

Coach: S. Dumont

Clermont

4-3-3
1 M. N'Diaye G
15 C. Konaté D
12 D. Da Silva D
97 J. Jacquet D
22 Y. Armougom D
25 J. Gastien M
44 A. Ackra M
6 H. Keïta M
26 M. Bassouamina F
23 H. Saivet F
70 Y. Diaby F
Bench (7)
20 J. Isala
7 Y. Magnin
11 M. Douane
33 A. Saïd
30 T. Guivarch
17 O. Diop
19 M. Bouchenna

Coach: P. Gastien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,40
U
3,23
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Chapapria · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.