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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Widzew Lodz

U S S U T

3–2

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,54 xG 0,78

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

5 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 8

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 8. · Radomiak Radom 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	5	3	1	1	+5	+2.6	10
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	1	1	+5	+3.0	10
3	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.2	10
4	Cracovia	5	3	1	1	+3	-2.6	10
5	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.9	9
6	Rakow	5	2	2	1	+2	+3.6	8
7	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.2	8
8	Widzew Lodz	5	2	2	1	+1	-3.4	8
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	2	1	+0	-0.9	8
10	Puszcza	5	1	2	2	+0	+1.0	5
11	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
12	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.1	5
13	Zaglebie	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.2	5
14	Stal Mielec	5	1	1	3	-2	+0.6	4
15	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	3	1	-2	+2.9	3
16	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	+1.0	3
17	Korona Kielce	5	0	2	3	-6	-5.2	2
18	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.2	9
2	Legia	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.3	6
3	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.9	6
5	Puszcza	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.1	5
6	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
7	Stal Mielec	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.4	4
8	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
10	Zaglebie	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
11	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.9	2
12	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
13	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
16	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
17	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.4	9
2	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.7	7
3	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
4	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	GKS Katowice	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
6	Widzew Lodz	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
7	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.4	4
8	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.5	4
9	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.3	4
10	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
11	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
12	Korona Kielce	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.2	2
13	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
14	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.3	1
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.5	1
17	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.