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Ligue 1

Referee: R Lissorgue

Clermont

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Troyes

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Clermont 5. · Troyes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Lille	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.