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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera

Sevilla

T T T T U

1–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,09 xG 0,89

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 8. · Villarreal 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
4	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
6	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
7	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
11	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
12	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
14	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
15	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
17	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
18	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
19	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
3	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
4	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
5	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
6	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
7	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
8	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
10	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
4	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
5	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
7	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
8	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
10	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.