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Ligue 2

Referee: J Stinat

Ajaccio

T S T T U

0–2

Full-time

Paris FC

U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

21%

50%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

1,7

2,4

Scored

0,7

1,6

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 15. · Paris FC 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	15	9	3	3	+13	30
2	Paris FC	14	8	4	2	+11	28
3	Dunkerque	14	9	1	4	+5	28
4	Annecy	15	7	5	3	+5	26
5	Metz	14	7	4	3	+9	25
6	Guingamp	15	8	1	6	+6	25
7	Amiens	15	7	2	6	+1	23
8	Laval	15	6	4	5	+6	22
9	Rodez	15	5	4	6	+3	19
10	Bastia	15	3	10	2	+0	19
11	Pau FC	15	5	4	6	-2	19
12	Grenoble	15	5	3	7	+0	18
13	Clermont	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	Caen	15	4	3	8	-4	15
15	Ajaccio	14	4	3	7	-4	15
16	Troyes	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Red Star	15	4	3	8	-14	15
18	Martigues	15	2	3	10	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	7	7	0	0	+14	21
2	Dunkerque	8	7	0	1	+7	21
3	Annecy	7	6	0	1	+9	18
4	Amiens	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Guingamp	8	5	1	2	+11	16
6	Metz	7	4	3	0	+9	15
7	Pau FC	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Grenoble	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Ajaccio	7	4	2	1	+5	14
10	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+4	14
11	Laval	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Bastia	7	2	5	0	+2	11
13	Caen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Rodez	7	3	1	3	+1	10
15	Clermont	8	2	3	3	+1	9
16	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Red Star	7	2	2	3	-6	8
18	Martigues	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+7	14
2	Laval	8	3	2	3	+4	11
3	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
4	Rodez	8	2	3	3	+2	9
5	Lorient	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Guingamp	7	3	0	4	-5	9
7	Bastia	8	1	5	2	-2	8
8	Annecy	8	1	5	2	-4	8
9	Martigues	6	2	2	2	-6	8
10	Dunkerque	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Troyes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Clermont	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Caen	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Grenoble	7	1	1	5	-5	4
18	Ajaccio	7	0	1	6	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.