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Ligue 2

Referee: P Gaillouste

Ajaccio

T S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Red Star

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

35%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 41%

35%

46%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 7

5 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 13. · Red Star 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	26	16	4	6	+19	52
2	Paris FC	26	16	4	6	+17	52
3	Metz	26	14	8	4	+25	50
4	Dunkerque	26	15	3	8	+8	48
5	Guingamp	26	13	3	10	+10	42
6	Laval	26	11	7	8	+8	40
7	Annecy	26	11	6	9	-4	39
8	Bastia	26	8	13	5	+6	37
9	Grenoble	26	10	6	10	+1	36
10	Troyes	26	10	3	13	+2	33
11	Pau FC	26	8	9	9	-7	33
12	Red Star	26	9	5	12	-12	32
13	Ajaccio	26	9	4	13	-9	31
14	Rodez	26	8	6	12	+2	30
15	Amiens	26	9	3	14	-14	30
16	Clermont	26	6	7	13	-13	25
17	Martigues	26	7	3	16	-23	24
18	Caen	26	5	4	17	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	13	11	1	1	+20	34
2	Metz	14	9	4	1	+21	31
3	Dunkerque	13	10	0	3	+11	30
4	Paris FC	13	9	2	2	+11	29
5	Grenoble	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Bastia	13	6	7	0	+10	25
7	Guingamp	13	7	2	4	+12	23
8	Amiens	13	7	2	4	+1	23
9	Annecy	12	7	1	4	+4	22
10	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
11	Ajaccio	13	6	2	5	+2	20
12	Red Star	13	6	2	5	-2	20
13	Laval	12	5	3	4	+3	18
14	Troyes	12	5	2	5	+4	17
15	Rodez	13	5	2	6	+1	17
16	Clermont	13	2	6	5	-1	12
17	Caen	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Martigues	13	2	1	10	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	13	7	2	4	+6	23
2	Laval	14	6	4	4	+5	22
3	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Guingamp	13	6	1	6	-2	19
5	Lorient	13	5	3	5	-1	18
6	Dunkerque	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Annecy	14	4	5	5	-8	17
8	Martigues	13	5	2	6	-10	17
9	Troyes	14	5	1	8	-2	16
10	Rodez	13	3	4	6	+1	13
11	Clermont	13	4	1	8	-12	13
12	Bastia	13	2	6	5	-4	12
13	Red Star	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Pau FC	13	2	5	6	-8	11
15	Ajaccio	13	3	2	8	-11	11
16	Grenoble	12	3	1	8	-7	10
17	Caen	12	2	1	9	-10	7
18	Amiens	13	2	1	10	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.