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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Palermo
U U S S U
2–3
Full-time
Cremonese
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
34%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
38%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 8. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 29 20 6 3 +34 66
2 Pisa 29 16 7 6 +17 55
3 Spezia 29 14 12 3 +23 54
4 Cremonese 29 12 9 8 +14 45
5 Catanzaro 29 9 16 4 +5 43
6 Cesena 29 11 8 10 +2 41
7 Juve Stabia 29 10 10 9 -1 40
8 Palermo 29 10 9 10 +6 39
9 Bari 29 8 15 6 +4 39
10 Modena 29 7 14 8 +1 35
11 Cittadella 29 9 7 13 -19 34
12 Sudtirol 29 9 6 14 -8 33
13 Carrarese 29 8 8 13 -10 32
14 Brescia 29 6 13 10 -6 31
15 Reggiana 29 7 10 12 -6 31
16 Sampdoria 29 6 13 10 -7 31
17 Mantova 29 6 12 11 -10 30
18 Frosinone 29 6 12 11 -15 30
19 Salernitana 29 7 8 14 -12 29
20 Cosenza 29 6 11 12 -12 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Cremonese
Pietro Ceccaroni 🟨
6′
28′
🟨 Paulo Azzi
Half-time 0–0
Matteo Brunori 🟨
53′
1–0 C. Gomes
55′
70′
🟨 Matteo Bianchetti
72′
🔁 M. Valoti
↦ J. Vandeputte
72′
🔁 M. Nasti
↦ M. De Luca
2–0 M. Brunori
72′
Valerio Verre 🟨
73′
74′
Paulo Azzi 2–1
F. Ceccherini
Salim Diakité 🟨
78′
J. Segre 🔁
↦ C. Gomes
79′
F. Ranocchia 🔁
↦ V. Verre
79′
A. Vasić 🔁
↦ P. Ceccaroni
80′
80′
🔁 L. Zanimacchia
↦ T. Barbieri
Aljoša Vasić 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 M. Collocolo
↦ M. Castagnetti
85′
🔁 V. Antov
↦ F. Ceccherini
86′
M. Valoti 2–2
K. Lund 🔁
↦ S. Diakité
92′
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ M. Brunori
92′
95′
M. Collocolo 2–3
L. Zanimacchia
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Palermo

3-4-2-1
12 E. Audero G
4 R. Baniya D
24 G. Magnani D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
23 S. Diakité M
6 C. Gomes M
28 A. Blin M
17 F. Di Francesco M
26 V. Verre F
9 M. Brunori F
19 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (10)
8 J. Segre
10 F. Ranocchia
14 A. Vasić
3 K. Lund
21 J. Le Douaron
11 R. Insigne
1 S. Desplanches
77 F. Di Bartolo
25 A. Buttaro
20 T. Henry

Coach: A. Dionisi

Cremonese

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fulignati G
23 F. Ceccherini D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
4 T. Barbieri M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
7 Paulo Azzi M
11 D. Johnsen F
27 J. Vandeputte F
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (11)
8 M. Valoti
99 M. Nasti
98 L. Zanimacchia
18 M. Collocolo
26 V. Antov
14 F. Gelli
42 L. Moretti
90 F. Bonazzoli
55 F. Folino
30 J. Tånnander
12 G. Drago

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U
3,04
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.