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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Magdeburg
T S T S U
0–3
Full-time
Hamburg
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
44%
48%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
76%
72%
Both score Ø 74%
76%
72%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
2,1
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
10 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 4. · Hamburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 25 12 9 4 +23 45
2 FC Koln 25 13 5 7 +8 44
3 Kaiserslautern 25 12 7 6 +8 43
4 Magdeburg 25 11 9 5 +15 42
5 Paderborn 25 11 9 5 +10 42
6 Elversberg 25 11 7 7 +14 40
7 Hannover 25 10 9 6 +7 39
8 Nurnberg 25 11 5 9 +4 38
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 10 8 7 +4 38
10 Karlsruhe 25 10 6 9 -2 36
11 Schalke 04 25 9 6 10 -2 33
12 Greuther Furth 25 9 6 10 -8 33
13 Darmstadt 25 8 7 10 +3 31
14 Hertha 25 7 5 13 -9 26
15 Preußen Münster 25 5 8 12 -8 23
16 Braunschweig 25 5 8 12 -21 23
17 Ulm 25 3 10 12 -7 19
18 Regensburg 25 4 4 17 -39 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Hamburg
9′
R. Königsdörffer 0–1
12′
🟨 Daniel Elfadli
15′
M. Mathisen 1–1
own goal
19′
🟨 William Mikelbrencis
Samuel Loric 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ S. Loric
46′
X. Amaechi 🔁
↦ L. Burcu
46′
P. Pfeiffer 🔁
↦ M. Mathisen
46′
46′
🔁 S. Hefti
↦ W. Mikelbrencis
53′
R. Königsdörffer 1–2
J. Dompé
55′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ J. Meffert
A. Ahl-Holmström 🔁
↦ B. Atik
70′
73′
🔁 D. Mebude
↦ E. Sahiti
73′
🔁 I. Pherai
↦ R. Königsdörffer
F. Michel 🔁
↦ J. Hugonet
83′
88′
🔁 R. Glatzel
↦ A. Karabec
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Müller D
2 S. Loric M
25 S. Gnaka M
17 A. Nollenberger M
14 A. El-Zein M
29 L. Burcu F
9 M. Kaars F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
27 P. Hercher
20 X. Amaechi
3 P. Pfeiffer
12 A. Ahl-Holmström
21 F. Michel
13 C. Krempicki
6 D. Stalmach
22 P. Nadjombe
30 N. Kruth

Coach: C. Titz

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
28 M. Muheim D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
8 Daniel Elfadli D
2 W. Mikelbrencis D
29 E. Sahiti M
23 J. Meffert M
14 L. Reis M
17 A. Karabec F
11 R. Königsdörffer F
7 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
30 S. Hefti
20 M. Richter
16 D. Mebude
10 I. Pherai
9 R. Glatzel
45 Fábio Baldé
12 T. Mickel
4 S. Schonlau
49 O. Stange

Coach: M. Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
3,63
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.