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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Ajaccio
T T S S S
0–3
Full-time
Guingamp
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
52%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 14. · Guingamp 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 21 13 4 4 +16 43
2 Paris FC 22 13 4 5 +15 43
3 Metz 21 10 8 3 +16 38
4 Dunkerque 21 11 3 7 +5 36
5 Annecy 22 10 6 6 +2 36
6 Guingamp 21 11 2 8 +10 35
7 Laval 22 9 7 6 +10 34
8 Grenoble 22 9 4 9 -1 31
9 Bastia 22 6 12 4 +6 30
10 Pau FC 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Amiens 21 9 2 10 -6 29
12 Troyes 22 8 3 11 +0 27
13 Clermont 21 6 6 9 -5 24
14 Ajaccio 21 7 3 11 -9 24
15 Rodez 22 6 5 11 -5 23
16 Red Star 22 6 5 11 -16 23
17 Martigues 22 5 3 14 -24 18
18 Caen 21 4 3 14 -13 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Guingamp
14′
T. Le Bris 0–1
41′
T. Le Bris 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli 🟨
47′
56′
B. Labeau 0–3
A. Hemia
57′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ B. Labeau
B. Santelli 🔁
↦ M. Huard
60′
Everson 🔁
↦ J. Anziani
60′
I. Chegra 🔁
↦ M. Barreto
69′
70′
🟨 Taylor Luvambo
72′
🔁 M. Riou
↦ K. Sidibé
72′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ D. Ourega
73′
🔁 L. Phiri
↦ A. Hemia
77′
🔁 S. Guendouz
↦ H. Picard
T. Mangani 🔁
↦ T. Jabol-Folcarelli
84′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ajaccio

5-3-2
16 F. Sollacaro G
23 T. Strata D
88 A. Bamba D
5 C. Vidal D
12 M. Huard D
43 K. Kouassi D
25 J. Anziani M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
4 M. Barreto M
27 A. Kanté F
22 M. Soumano F
Bench (7)
9 B. Santelli
17 Everson
21 I. Chegra
6 T. Mangani
30 G. Quilichini
20 M. Youssouf
8 M. Puch-Herrantz

Coach: T. Debès

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
31 D. Ourega D
28 T. Le Bris M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
10 H. Picard M
13 A. Hemia F
9 B. Labeau F
Bench (7)
23 T. Luvambo
26 M. Riou
21 R. Ghrieb
5 L. Phiri
19 S. Guendouz
30 B. Niasse
29 Junior Armando Mendes

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U
2,90
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.