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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
St Etienne
T T S T U
4–0
Full-time
Rodez
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
0,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
19 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 10. · Rodez 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Amiens 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Reims 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Nancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Laval 2 0 2 0 +0 2
7 Dunkerque 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Clermont 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Guingamp 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Red Star 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Annecy 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Boulogne 1 0 0 1 -1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Rodez
Ebenezer Annan 🟨
5′
1–0 J. Duffus
J. Ferreira
27′
Aimen Moueffek 🟨
38′
41′
🟨 Derek Mazou-Sacko
Half-time 1–0
I. Cardona 🔁
↦ J. Duffus
46′
2–0 M. Jaber
47′
3–0 I. Cardona
A. Boakye
56′
D. Appiah 🔁
↦ J. Ferreira
59′
L. Gadegbeku 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
64′
64′
🔁 K. Nagera
↦ M. Baaloudj
65′
🔁 R. Ponti
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
77′
🟨 Loni Laurent
4–0 Z. Davitashvili
A. Boakye
79′
81′
🔁 C. Jolibois
↦ L. Laurent
81′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ I. Balde
81′
🔁 O. Joly
↦ A. Trouillet
B. Old 🔁
↦ A. Boakye
82′
L. Stassin 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
83′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 G. Larsonneur G
13 J. Ferreira D
15 C. Lamba D
3 M. Nade D
19 E. Annan D
29 A. Moueffek M
5 M. Jaber M
10 F. Tardieu M
20 A. Boakye F
17 J. Duffus F
22 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
1 B. Maubleu
8 D. Appiah
35 L. Gadegbeku
31 N. El Jamali
11 B. Old
7 I. Cardona
32 L. Stassin

Coach: Philippe Montanier

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
11 M. Bouchouari D
15 E. Jean-Lambert
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
24 L. Laurent
29 D. Mazou-Sacko M
6 J. Mendes M
27 A. Trouillet M
18 I. Balde F
10 M. Baaloudj F
Bench (7)
16 L. Margueron
5 C. Jolibois
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
20 R. Ponti
7 M. Achi
22 O. Joly
9 K. Nagera

Coach: Didier Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,71
B
4,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.