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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Mainz

S T T S T

2–0

Full-time

Hoffenheim

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

40%

45%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

55%

70%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,7

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 10. · Hoffenheim 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	20	16	1	3	+46	49
2	Dortmund	20	14	1	5	+21	43
3	Leverkusen	20	10	5	5	+17	35
4	Union Berlin	20	9	7	4	+4	34
5	Freiburg	20	9	6	5	+10	33
6	RB Leipzig	20	9	4	7	+15	31
7	Hoffenheim	20	9	4	7	+9	31
8	FC Koln	20	7	8	5	-2	29
9	Ein Frankfurt	20	7	7	6	+0	28
10	Mainz	20	8	3	9	+5	27
11	Bochum	21	7	4	10	-10	25
12	Hertha	21	6	5	10	-20	23
13	M'gladbach	20	6	4	10	-11	22
14	Bielefeld	20	4	9	7	-6	21
15	Wolfsburg	20	6	3	11	-15	21
16	Augsburg	20	4	7	9	-15	19
17	Stuttgart	20	4	6	10	-13	18
18	Greuther Furth	20	2	4	14	-35	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	0	1	+18	27
2	Bayern Munich	10	8	0	2	+22	24
3	RB Leipzig	11	8	0	3	+18	24
4	Mainz	10	6	3	1	+14	21
5	Union Berlin	10	6	3	1	+5	21
6	Hoffenheim	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Freiburg	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Bochum	10	5	3	2	+5	18
9	FC Koln	10	5	3	2	+3	18
10	Leverkusen	10	5	2	3	+9	17
11	Hertha	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	M'gladbach	10	4	2	4	-1	14
13	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	-3	12
15	Stuttgart	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Wolfsburg	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	10	1	6	3	-5	9
18	Greuther Furth	10	2	3	5	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	8	1	1	+24	25
2	Leverkusen	10	5	3	2	+8	18
3	Dortmund	10	5	1	4	+3	16
4	Freiburg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	-1	15
6	Union Berlin	10	3	4	3	-1	13
7	Bielefeld	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Hoffenheim	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	FC Koln	10	2	5	3	-5	11
10	Wolfsburg	10	3	1	6	-9	10
11	M'gladbach	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Hertha	10	2	2	6	-18	8
13	RB Leipzig	9	1	4	4	-3	7
14	Stuttgart	10	1	4	5	-9	7
15	Augsburg	11	1	4	6	-12	7
16	Bochum	11	2	1	8	-15	7
17	Mainz	10	2	0	8	-9	6
18	Greuther Furth	10	0	1	9	-28	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.