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Eredivisie

Referee: J van der Laan

Zwolle

T T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 25%

15%

35%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

35%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	15	3	2	+56	48
2	PSV Eindhoven	20	15	1	4	+22	46
3	Feyenoord	20	13	3	4	+27	42
4	Twente	20	11	5	4	+9	38
5	Utrecht	20	10	5	5	+12	35
6	AZ Alkmaar	18	10	2	6	+11	32
7	Vitesse	18	10	2	6	-2	32
8	Cambuur	21	9	3	9	-8	30
9	Nijmegen	20	7	5	8	-5	26
10	Heerenveen	20	7	4	9	-8	25
11	Groningen	20	5	7	8	-6	22
12	Waalwijk	20	5	7	8	-8	22
13	Go Ahead Eagles	20	6	4	10	-12	22
14	Heracles	20	5	5	10	-5	20
15	Willem II	20	5	3	12	-21	18
16	For Sittard	21	4	4	13	-27	16
17	Sparta Rotterdam	20	2	8	10	-15	14
18	Zwolle	20	3	3	14	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	0	2	+14	24
2	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	2	1	+14	23
4	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+35	22
5	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+14	22
6	Twente	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Heracles	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Cambuur	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Waalwijk	10	4	1	5	-7	13
10	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	0	6	-2	12
11	Heerenveen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
12	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
13	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-6	10
14	Willem II	10	3	1	6	-9	10
15	Groningen	9	1	6	2	+0	9
16	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	5	5	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+21	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Vitesse	10	7	1	2	+4	22
4	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Twente	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Nijmegen	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cambuur	11	5	2	4	-5	17
8	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-3	14
9	Groningen	11	4	1	6	-6	13
10	Utrecht	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	4	4	-10	10
12	Waalwijk	10	1	6	3	-1	9
13	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	0	5	-3	9
14	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-7	6
16	For Sittard	11	1	2	8	-17	5
17	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-15	4
18	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.