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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Twente
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Vitesse
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
55%
56%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Twente 4. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +56 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 21 15 1 5 +21 46
3 Feyenoord 20 13 3 4 +27 42
4 Twente 20 11 5 4 +9 38
5 Utrecht 20 10 5 5 +12 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 19 11 2 6 +12 35
7 Vitesse 18 10 2 6 -2 32
8 Cambuur 21 9 3 9 -8 30
9 Nijmegen 21 7 6 8 -5 27
10 Heerenveen 20 7 4 9 -8 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Waalwijk 20 5 7 8 -8 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Heracles 20 5 5 10 -5 20
15 Willem II 20 5 3 12 -21 18
16 For Sittard 21 4 4 13 -27 16
17 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 8 10 -15 14
18 Zwolle 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Vitesse
1–0 J. Bosch
18′
30′
🟨 Danilho Doekhi
45′
🟥 Jacob Rasmussen
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
46′
46′
🔁 N. Frederiksen
↦ R. Bazoer
46′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ Y. Gboho
46′
🔁 T. Hájek
↦ D. Huisman
3–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
54′
V. Černý 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
60′
75′
🔁 R. Yapi
↦ A. Grbić
75′
🔁 A. Oroz
↦ S. Tronstad
V. Misidjan 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
77′
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ D. Rots
77′
J. Brenet 🔁
↦ G. Troupée
87′
C. Staring 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
5 G. Smal D
35 M. Hilgers D
18 D. Limnios M
14 M. Vlap M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
39 D. Rots M
Bench (10)
7 V. Černý
10 V. Misidjan
26 D. Cleonise
20 J. Brenet
40 C. Staring
30 E. van der Gouw
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
38 M. Bruns
22 J. de Lange
24 J. Markelo

Coach: R. Jans

Vitesse

3-4-2-1
24 J. Houwen G
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
20 Y. Gboho F
40 D. Huisman F
9 A. Grbić F
Bench (10)
11 N. Frederiksen
29 T. Buitink
18 T. Hájek
27 R. Yapi
16 A. Oroz
39 E. Cornelisse
23 E. Verstappen
36 P. Vroegh
22 T. Domgjoni
1 M. Schubert

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
3,25
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.