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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Freiburg

T U S S U

3–2

Full-time

Wolfsburg

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

44%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%

16 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 6. · Wolfsburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	19	2	4	+49	59
2	Dortmund	24	16	2	6	+27	50
3	Leverkusen	25	13	6	6	+24	45
4	Hoffenheim	25	13	4	8	+12	43
5	RB Leipzig	25	12	5	8	+22	41
6	Freiburg	25	11	8	6	+13	41
7	Union Berlin	25	10	7	8	-1	37
8	FC Koln	25	9	9	7	-3	36
9	Mainz	24	10	4	10	+6	34
10	Ein Frankfurt	25	9	7	9	+0	34
11	Bochum	25	9	5	11	-8	32
12	Wolfsburg	25	9	4	12	-10	31
13	M'gladbach	25	7	6	12	-17	27
14	Augsburg	25	6	8	11	-14	26
15	Bielefeld	25	5	10	10	-11	25
16	Hertha	25	6	5	14	-32	23
17	Stuttgart	25	5	7	13	-16	22
18	Greuther Furth	25	3	5	17	-41	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+26	31
2	Dortmund	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	RB Leipzig	13	9	1	3	+20	28
4	Mainz	12	8	3	1	+17	27
5	Hoffenheim	12	8	2	2	+14	26
6	Bochum	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	FC Koln	13	7	3	3	+4	24
8	Union Berlin	12	7	3	2	+4	24
9	Leverkusen	12	7	2	3	+14	23
10	Freiburg	12	6	4	2	+9	22
11	M'gladbach	12	5	3	4	+0	18
12	Wolfsburg	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
14	Stuttgart	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-10	15
16	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	4	5	-2	13
17	Bielefeld	13	2	7	4	-5	13
18	Greuther Furth	12	3	4	5	-6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	1	2	+23	28
2	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+10	22
3	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+2	21
4	Dortmund	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Freiburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
6	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	-2	17
7	Wolfsburg	12	4	2	6	-7	14
8	RB Leipzig	12	3	4	5	+2	13
9	Union Berlin	13	3	4	6	-5	13
10	Bielefeld	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	FC Koln	12	2	6	4	-7	12
12	Augsburg	13	2	4	7	-12	10
13	M'gladbach	13	2	3	8	-17	9
14	Bochum	12	2	2	8	-15	8
15	Hertha	12	2	2	8	-22	8
16	Mainz	12	2	1	9	-11	7
17	Stuttgart	12	1	4	7	-12	7
18	Greuther Furth	13	0	1	12	-35	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.