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Eredivisie
Referee: R Martens
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 23/25 matches
Win Ø 21%
13%
28%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
43%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · Go Ahead Eagles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 26 20 3 3 +66 63
2 PSV Eindhoven 25 19 1 5 +31 58
3 Feyenoord 25 16 4 5 +34 52
4 Twente 25 14 6 5 +9 48
5 AZ Alkmaar 23 15 2 6 +19 47
6 Utrecht 23 11 6 6 +12 39
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Cambuur 26 10 3 13 -12 33
9 Nijmegen 25 8 7 10 -9 31
10 Groningen 25 7 9 9 -5 30
11 Go Ahead Eagles 25 7 6 12 -15 27
12 Heracles 25 7 5 13 -8 26
13 Heerenveen 24 7 5 12 -12 26
14 Waalwijk 25 5 8 12 -14 23
15 Willem II 25 6 4 15 -22 22
16 Zwolle 25 5 5 15 -20 20
17 For Sittard 24 5 4 15 -28 19
18 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 8 12 -19 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles
B. Vriends 🔁
↦ T. Beugelsdijk
5′
Half-time 0–0
L. Thy 🔁
↦ Adrián Dalmau
46′
67′
🟨 Jay Idzes
1–0 A. Auassar
V. van Crooij
68′
70′
🔁 G. Botos
↦ J. Idzes
81′
🔁 O. Heil
↦ R. Oratmangoen
81′
🔁 C. Martina
↦ M. Deijl
81′
🔁 Cardona
↦ I. Lidberg
S. Mijnans 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
82′
L. Jans 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
82′
85′
🔁 J. Mulenga
↦ B. Kuipers
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ M. Engels
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 M. Okoye G
3 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 R. Durmisi D
2 D. Abels D
8 J. van Mullem M
4 A. Auassar D
6 J. de Kamps M
10 Y. Namli M
11 M. Engels F
9 Adrián Dalmau F
7 V. van Crooij M
Bench (9)
16 B. Vriends
19 L. Thy
17 S. Mijnans
12 L. Jans
13 G. Masouras
30 I. Kort
14 M. Heylen
15 A. Meijers
20 T. Coremans

Coach: H. Fraser

Go Ahead Eagles

5-3-2
23 A. Noppert G
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
20 M. Deijl D
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (12)
30 G. Botos
19 O. Heil
15 C. Martina
29 Cardona
27 J. Mulenga
7 M. Berden
33 N. Hengelman
37 E. Linthorst
26 J. Bakker
2 B. Lucassen
31 J. Schuurman
17 F. Ross

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,45
B
4,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.