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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
M'gladbach
U S T U T
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,7
3,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
28%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
68%
Both score Ø 68%
72%
64%
Average goals
3,4
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 13. · Hertha 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 3 4 +49 60
2 Dortmund 24 16 2 6 +27 50
3 Leverkusen 25 13 6 6 +24 45
4 Freiburg 26 12 8 6 +14 44
5 Hoffenheim 26 13 5 8 +12 44
6 RB Leipzig 25 12 5 8 +22 41
7 Union Berlin 26 10 8 8 -1 38
8 FC Koln 25 9 9 7 -3 36
9 Mainz 24 10 4 10 +6 34
10 Ein Frankfurt 25 9 7 9 +0 34
11 Bochum 25 9 5 11 -8 32
12 Wolfsburg 26 9 4 13 -11 31
13 M'gladbach 25 7 6 12 -17 27
14 Augsburg 25 6 8 11 -14 26
15 Bielefeld 25 5 10 10 -11 25
16 Stuttgart 26 5 8 13 -16 23
17 Hertha 25 6 5 14 -32 23
18 Greuther Furth 25 3 5 17 -41 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Hertha
Marcus Thuram ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
22′
1–0 A. Pléa
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Serdar
↦ S. Ascacíbar
Matthias Ginter 🟨
56′
2–0 M. Ginter
L. Netz
59′
60′
🔁 A. Kade
↦ P. Pekarík
C. Kramer 🔁
↦ A. Pléa
65′
75′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ V. Darida
75′
🔁 J. Ekkelenkamp
↦ D. Selke
S. Lainer 🔁
↦ L. Netz
78′
Joseph Scally 🟨
81′
Marcus Thuram 🟨
89′
L. Stindl 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-2-1
1 Y. Sommer G
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
15 L. Beyer D
29 J. Scally M
20 L. Netz M
32 F. Neuhaus M
17 K. Koné M
14 A. Pléa F
36 B. Embolo F
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
6 C. Kramer
18 S. Lainer
13 L. Stindl
21 T. Sippel
7 P. Herrmann
24 T. Jantschke
5 M. Friedrich
22 L. Bénes
34 C. Noß

Coach: A. Hütter

Hertha

3-1-4-2
37 M. Lotka G
2 P. Pekarík M
21 M. Plattenhardt M
20 M. Kempf D
5 N. Stark D
44 L. Gechter D
6 V. Darida M
29 L. Tousart M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
14 I. Belfodil F
7 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
8 S. Serdar
46 A. Kade
23 M. Richter
10 J. Ekkelenkamp
30 Lee Dong-Jun
31 M. Dárdai
32 O. Christensen
17 M. Mittelstädt
4 D. Boyata

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,51
B
5,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.