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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Waalwijk
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Heerenveen
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
56%
42%
Both score Ø 59%
68%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 14. · Heerenveen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 26 20 3 3 +66 63
2 PSV Eindhoven 25 19 1 5 +31 58
3 Feyenoord 25 16 4 5 +34 52
4 Twente 25 14 6 5 +9 48
5 AZ Alkmaar 23 15 2 6 +19 47
6 Utrecht 23 11 6 6 +12 39
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Groningen 26 8 9 9 -4 33
9 Cambuur 26 10 3 13 -12 33
10 Nijmegen 26 8 7 11 -10 31
11 Go Ahead Eagles 26 7 6 13 -16 27
12 Heracles 25 7 5 13 -8 26
13 Heerenveen 24 7 5 12 -12 26
14 Waalwijk 25 5 8 12 -14 23
15 Willem II 25 6 4 15 -22 22
16 Sparta Rotterdam 24 4 8 12 -18 20
17 Zwolle 25 5 5 15 -20 20
18 For Sittard 24 5 4 15 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Heerenveen
Jurien Gaari 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Sven van Beek
S. Bakari 🔁
↦ L. Wouters
61′
I. Bel Hassani 🔁
↦ A. El Bouchataoui
61′
76′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ S. de Jong
Vurnon Anita 🟨
78′
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
78′
79′
🔁 F. Stevanović
↦ A. Musaba
R. Kuijpers 🔁
↦ S. Adewoye
86′
87′
🔁 N. Madsen
↦ A. Tahiri
93′
🟨 Thom Haye
Roy Kuijpers 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
34 L. Wouters D
4 S. Adewoye D
6 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
14 A. El Bouchataoui M
29 M. Kramer F
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (11)
22 S. Bakari
11 I. Bel Hassani
9 F. Stokkers
17 R. Kuijpers
20 L. Daneels
5 T. Lutonda
8 A. Azhil
12 H. Mulder
31 I. El Maach
33 Y. Oukili
21 Joel Pereira

Coach: J. Oosting

Heerenveen

3-4-1-2
1 E. Mulder G
15 N. Bakker D
4 S. van Beek D
3 J. van Aken D
13 R. Kaib M
27 M. van Ewijk M
6 S. de Jong F
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
11 A. Musaba F
20 S. van Hooijdonk F
Bench (10)
17 R. Al Hajj
7 F. Stevanović
29 N. Madsen
19 J. Ras
16 A. van der Heide
18 H. Akujobi
23 J. Bekkema
2 S. van Ottele
14 I. Drešević
22 X. Mous

Coach: O. Tobiasen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
3,33
B
2,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.