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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Parma
S U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Como
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 6
23 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 8. · Como 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 10 7 0 3 +9 21
2 Genoa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Ternana 11 6 2 3 +4 20
4 Bari 11 5 4 2 +6 19
5 Reggina 10 6 0 4 +11 18
6 Brescia 10 5 2 3 -1 17
7 Sudtirol 10 5 2 3 -1 17
8 Parma 10 4 4 2 +4 16
9 Ascoli 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Cagliari 10 4 2 4 -1 14
11 Spal 10 3 4 3 +2 13
12 Modena 10 4 0 6 +1 12
13 Cittadella 10 2 5 3 -4 11
14 Cosenza 10 3 2 5 -7 11
15 Pisa 10 2 4 4 +0 10
16 Benevento 10 2 3 5 -3 9
17 Venezia 10 2 3 5 -4 9
18 Palermo 10 2 3 5 -6 9
19 Como 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Perugia 10 2 1 7 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Como
14′
ℹ️ Álex Blanco
VAR: Penalty cancelled
20′
🟨 Filippo Scaglia
28′
🟨 Alessandro Bellemo
Antoine Hainaut 🟨
33′
1–0 E. Del Prato
N. Estévez
38′
Half-time 1–0
B. Balogh 🔁
↦ A. Hainaut
46′
S. Jurić 🔁
↦ A. Benedyczak
46′
Stanko Jurić 🟨
47′
Lautaro Valenti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
58′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ V. Zagaritis
62′
64′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ P. Cutrone
64′
🔁 A. Iovine
↦ T. Arrigoni
Botond Balogh 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 E. Celeghin
↦ D. Baselli
73′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ Álex Blanco
D. Šits 🔁
↦ S. Sohm
80′
A. Circati 🔁
↦ G. Tutino
80′
80′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ A. Cerri
85′
🟨 Alessio Iovine
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Parma

4-2-3-1
40 E. Corvi G
15 E. Del Prato D
3 Y. Osorio D
30 L. Valenti D
47 V. Zagaritis D
8 N. Estévez M
19 S. Sohm M
20 A. Hainaut M
10 F. Vázquez M
7 A. Benedyczak M
11 G. Tutino F
Bench (8)
4 B. Balogh
24 S. Jurić
13 A. Bonny
84 D. Šits
39 A. Circati
59 N. Buayi-Kiala
36 B. Maliszewski
44 F. Borriello

Coach: F. Pecchia

Como

4-3-1-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
28 L. Vignali D
23 F. Scaglia D
16 M. Solini D
44 N. Ioannou D
21 T. Arrigoni M
10 D. Baselli M
14 A. Bellemo M
19 Álex Blanco M
63 P. Cutrone F
27 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
77 L. Mancuso
6 A. Iovine
24 E. Celeghin
11 V. Parigini
9 A. Gabrielloni
12 P. Bolchini
70 G. Ambrosino
2 L. Binks
22 L. Zanotti
33 F. Delli Carri
4 Cesc Fàbregas
3 A. Cagnano

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,81
B
4,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.