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Serie B
Referee: G Camplone
Benevento
U U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Bari
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
27%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 17. · Bari 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 11 8 0 3 +10 24
2 Genoa 11 6 4 1 +6 22
3 Ternana 11 6 2 3 +4 20
4 Reggina 11 6 1 4 +11 19
5 Bari 11 5 4 2 +6 19
6 Parma 11 5 4 2 +5 19
7 Ascoli 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Brescia 11 5 3 3 -1 18
9 Sudtirol 11 5 3 3 -1 18
10 Cagliari 11 4 3 4 -1 15
11 Spal 11 3 5 3 +2 14
12 Cittadella 11 3 5 3 -2 14
13 Modena 11 4 0 7 -1 12
14 Palermo 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Pisa 11 2 5 4 +0 11
16 Cosenza 11 3 2 6 -8 11
17 Benevento 11 2 4 5 -3 10
18 Venezia 11 2 3 6 -6 9
19 Como 11 2 3 6 -10 9
20 Perugia 11 2 1 8 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Bari
13′
🟨 Michael Folorunsho
Francesco Forte 🟨
31′
1–0 R. Improta
F. Forte
37′
Christian Pastina 🟨
41′
42′
🟨 Mattia Maita
43′
🟨 Raffaele Maiello
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Valerio Di Cesare
56′
🔁 N. Bellomo
↦ R. Botta
56′
🔁 M. Antenucci
↦ A. Scheidler
56′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ M. Folorunsho
I. Koutsoupias 🔁
↦ N. Karić
63′
75′
ℹ️ Emile Dorval
VAR: Penalty confirmed
77′
W. Cheddira 1–1
Riccardo Capellini 🟨
79′
Christian Pastina 🟨
79′
Christian Pastina 🟥
79′
Gaetano Letizia 🟨
85′
Diego Farias 🔁
↦ A. La Gumina
87′
D. Foulon 🔁
↦ G. Letizia
87′
87′
🔁 A. Mallamo
↦ M. Maita
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Benevento

3-5-2
21 A. Paleari G
33 M. Leverbe D
96 R. Capellini D
58 C. Pastina D
3 G. Letizia M
16 R. Improta M
27 P. Schiattarella M
7 N. Karić M
5 E. Masciangelo M
88 F. Forte F
20 A. La Gumina F
Bench (12)
80 I. Koutsoupias
10 Diego Farias
18 D. Foulon
30 A. Basit
17 E. Agnello
22 I. Lucatelli
79 S. Sanogo
15 K. Glik
36 F. Perlingieri
37 A. Veltri
14 P. Thiam
12 N. Manfredini

Coach: F. Cannavaro

Bari

4-3-1-2
18 E. Caprile G
25 R. Pucino D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
93 M. Dorval D
4 M. Maita M
17 R. Maiello M
90 M. Folorunsho M
10 R. Botta M
26 A. Scheidler F
11 W. Cheddira F
Bench (12)
63 N. Bellomo
7 M. Antenucci
14 E. Salcedo
99 A. Mallamo
9 A. D'Errico
44 M. Bosisio
27 A. Mazzotta
1 P. Frattali
74 G. Cangiano
80 L. Benedetti
21 Ž. Žužek
20 E. Terranova

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U ✓
3,14
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Camplone · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.