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Serie B
Referee: E Feliciani
Palermo
T S T T T
3–3
Full-time
Pisa
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
25%
63%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 17. · Pisa 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Bari 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Frosinone 9 6 0 3 +8 18
4 Ternana 8 5 1 2 +4 16
5 Brescia 8 5 1 2 +0 16
6 Genoa 8 4 3 1 +4 15
7 Parma 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Sudtirol 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Modena 8 3 0 5 -1 9
12 Benevento 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Ascoli 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Spal 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Cittadella 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Venezia 9 2 2 5 -4 8
17 Palermo 8 2 1 5 -6 7
18 Pisa 8 1 3 4 -2 6
19 Como 8 1 3 4 -6 6
20 Perugia 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Pisa
10′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
1–0 F. Di Mariano
M. Brunori
11′
Ivan Marconi 🟨
17′
18′
🔁 A. Livieri
↦ Nícolas
25′
I. Touré 1–1
Half-time 1–1
D. Bettella 🔁
↦ I. Marconi
46′
2–1 S. Elia
M. Brunori
47′
Davide Bettella 🟨
48′
51′
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
3–1 S. Elia
A. Matějů
57′
Matteo Brunori 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Marius Marin
Salvatore Elia 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 Tomás Esteves
↦ A. Calabresi
62′
🔁 M. Tramoni
↦ A. Ioniţă
64′
E. Gliozzi 3–2
66′
🔁 H. Hermannsson
↦ F. Barba
66′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ Á. Nagy
D. Šarić 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
76′
78′
M. Tramoni 3–3
E. Gliozzi
79′
🟨 Giuseppe Sibilli
L. Vido 🔁
↦ J. Broh
83′
Ionuț Nedelcearu 🟨
88′
N. Valente 🔁
↦ S. Elia
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Palermo

3-4-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
25 A. Buttaro D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
15 I. Marconi D
77 S. Elia M
5 C. Gomes M
14 J. Broh M
37 A. Matějů M
8 J. Segre F
9 M. Brunori F
10 F. Di Mariano F
Bench (12)
48 D. Bettella
28 D. Šarić
19 L. Vido
30 N. Valente
79 E. Lancini
34 M. Devetak
12 S. Massolo
4 A. Accardi
7 R. Floriano
27 E. Soleri
21 S. Damiani
16 L. Štulac

Coach: E. Corini

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
33 A. Calabresi D
5 S. Canestrelli D
93 F. Barba D
20 P. Beruatto D
16 Á. Nagy M
8 M. Marin M
15 I. Touré M
23 A. Ioniţă M
17 G. Sibilli M
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
22 A. Livieri
19 Tomás Esteves
27 M. Tramoni
6 H. Hermannsson
10 E. Torregrossa
18 G. Mastinu
7 R. Jureškin
26 G. Masucci
80 O. Moruțan
36 G. Piccinini
44 A. Rus
30 A. De Vitis

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,26
B
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.