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Serie B

Referee: N Baroni

Catanzaro

T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Ternana

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 25

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 11. · Ternana 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Bari	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	FeralpiSalo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Ascoli	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cosenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Ascoli	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.