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Serie B
Referee: F Maresca
Brescia
T U U T U
1–0
Full-time
Cosenza
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Modena 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Venezia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Catanzaro 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Bari 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Cosenza 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Cremonese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Pisa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Ascoli 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Reggiana 4 0 2 2 -3 2
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 3 0 0 3 -3 0
18 FeralpiSalo 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cosenza
Davide Adorni 🟨
-5′
Birkir Bjarnason 🟨
6′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Bjarnason
R. Fogliata
53′
54′
🔁 L. Canotto
↦ M. Marras
G. Borrelli 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
56′
G. Olzer 🔁
↦ E. Ndoj
56′
60′
🟨 Alessandro Arioli
Giacomo Olzer 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ A. Arioli
Dimitri Bisoli 🟨
69′
76′
🟨 Giacomo Calò
76′
🟥 Filippo Sgarbi
84′
🔁 A. Fontanarosa
↦ I. Voca
84′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ G. Tutino
84′
🔁 M. Viviani
↦ G. Calò
M. Besaggio 🔁
↦ R. Fogliata
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
15 A. Cistana D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann D
8 E. Ndoj M
25 D. Bisoli M
21 R. Fogliata M
7 B. Bjarnason M
9 F. Bianchi F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (9)
29 G. Borrelli
27 G. Olzer
39 M. Besaggio
16 C. Riviera
31 M. Ferro
20 P. Nuamah
19 E. Maccherini Tonini
28 D. Adorni
22 L. Andrenacci

Coach: D. Gastaldello

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
3 A. Rispoli D
13 A. Meroni D
2 F. Sgarbi D
11 T. D'Orazio D
98 F. Zuccon M
14 G. Calò M
7 M. Marras M
42 I. Voca M
20 A. Arioli M
9 G. Tutino F
Bench (9)
31 L. Canotto
19 V. Crespi
6 A. Fontanarosa
21 M. Zilli
24 M. Viviani
23 M. Venturi
26 M. Praszelik
77 L. Marson
35 D. Occhiuto

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,18
B
3,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.