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Serie B
Referee: K Bonacina
Palermo
T U T U S
3–0
Full-time
FeralpiSalo
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo FeralpiSalo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Serie B · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 8. · FeralpiSalo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Venezia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Catanzaro 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Modena 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Bari 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Cosenza 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Cremonese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Pisa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Ascoli 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Reggiana 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 3 0 0 3 -3 0
18 FeralpiSalo 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo FeralpiSalo
1–0 R. Insigne
L. Henderson
15′
N. Valente 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
41′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Štulac
J. Segre
46′
Nicola Valente 🟨
50′
57′
🔁 M. Felici
↦ D. Di Molfetta
57′
🔁 D. Hergheligiu
↦ L. Bacchetti
K. Lund 🔁
↦ G. Aurelio
62′
A. Vasic 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
63′
65′
🟨 Luca Fiordilino
72′
🔁 K. Butić
↦ G. Ferrarini
73′
🔁 G. Letizia
↦ A. La Mantia
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
79′
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ M. Brunori
79′
82′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ M. Compagnon
3–0 F. Di Francesco
E. Soleri
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
37 A. Matějů D
5 F. Lucioni D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
31 G. Aurelio D
53 L. Henderson M
6 L. Štulac M
8 J. Segre M
11 R. Insigne F
9 M. Brunori F
10 F. Di Mariano F
Bench (12)
30 N. Valente
3 K. Lund
20 A. Vasic
17 F. Di Francesco
27 E. Soleri
2 S. Graves
4 C. Gomes
15 I. Marconi
18 I. Nedelcearu
80 M. Coulibaly
1 S. Desplanches
7 L. Mancuso

Coach: E. Corini

FeralpiSalo

3-4-2-1
1 S. Pizzignacco G
19 A. Pilati D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
6 L. Bacchetti D
2 G. Ferrarini M
16 L. Fiordilino M
8 D. Balestrero M
87 B. Martella M
14 M. Compagnon F
10 D. Di Molfetta F
91 A. La Mantia F
Bench (12)
97 M. Felici
27 D. Hergheligiu
9 K. Butić
94 G. Letizia
70 V. Parigini
25 M. Sau
77 B. Gjyla
20 M. Zennaro
3 M. Tonetto
61 G. Volpe
34 S. Minelli
66 F. Bergonzi

Coach: S. Vecchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
3,74
B
5,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Bonacina · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.