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Coppa Italia
Referee: L Marinelli
Cagliari
S S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Palermo
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Parma 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Verona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 FeralpiSalo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Ascoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Bari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. May -23 Cagliari – Palermo 2–1 18. Dec -22 Palermo – Cagliari 2–1 2. Apr -17 Palermo – Cagliari 1–3 31. Oct -16 Cagliari – Palermo 2–1

Match report

Cagliari Palermo
11′
🟨 C. Gomes
G. Oristanio 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ N. Nández
58′
Zito Luvumbo 🔁
↦ Paulo Azzi
58′
64′
🔁 D. Šarić
↦ L. Štulac
70′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ R. Insigne
70′
🔁 N. Valente
↦ F. Di Mariano
73′
🟨 A. Vasic
75′
🔁 J. Segre
↦ A. Vasic
N. Viola 🔁
↦ A. Makoumbou
85′
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ G. Oristanio
85′
E. Shomurodov 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
85′
A. Dossena 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 S. Damiani
↦ C. Gomes
1–0 A. Dossena ⚽
N. Viola
100′
103′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ M. Brunori
E. Goldaniga 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
121′
121′
⚽ E. Soleri 1–1
L. Mancuso
2–1 A. Di Pardo ⚽
Zito Luvumbo
123′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

1 B. Radunović
27 T. Augello
37 Paulo Azzi
4 A. Dossena
28 G. Zappa
33 A. Obert
8 N. Nández
29 A. Makoumbou
19 G. Oristanio
25 I. Sulemana
30 L. Pavoletti
Bench (13)
14 A. Deiola
77 Zito Luvumbo
10 N. Viola
99 A. Di Pardo
61 E. Shomurodov
3 E. Goldaniga
22 S. Scuffet
39 C. Kourfalidis
15 G. Altare
24 E. Capradossi
23 N. Lella
21 J. Jankto
18 S. Aresti

Coach: C. Ranieri

Palermo

22 M. Pigliacelli
5 F. Lucioni
15 I. Marconi
37 A. Matějů
32 P. Ceccaroni
6 L. Štulac
4 C. Gomes
20 A. Vasic
9 M. Brunori
10 F. Di Mariano
11 R. Insigne
Bench (11)
23 D. Šarić
7 L. Mancuso
30 N. Valente
8 J. Segre
21 S. Damiani
27 E. Soleri
25 A. Buttaro
2 S. Graves
18 I. Nedelcearu
12 M. Nespola
1 S. Desplanches

Coach: E. Corini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.