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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Cittadella

S S S S U

4–1

Full-time

Spezia

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

47%

18%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

24 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 6. · Spezia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	5	2	+16	35
2	Venezia	17	10	3	4	+11	33
3	Como	17	9	4	4	+3	31
4	Catanzaro	17	9	3	5	+6	30
5	Cremonese	17	8	5	4	+9	29
6	Cittadella	17	8	5	4	+2	29
7	Palermo	17	8	4	5	+8	28
8	Modena	17	7	6	4	+1	27
9	Sampdoria	17	7	3	7	+0	24
10	Brescia	17	5	7	5	+1	22
11	Bari	17	4	9	4	-2	21
12	Sudtirol	17	5	5	7	+0	20
13	Cosenza	17	5	5	7	-1	20
14	Pisa	17	4	6	7	-4	18
15	Ternana	17	4	5	8	-2	17
16	Reggiana	17	3	8	6	-5	17
17	Ascoli	17	4	4	9	-6	16
18	Spezia	17	3	7	7	-8	16
19	Lecco	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	FeralpiSalo	17	2	4	11	-19	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	9	5	4	0	+8	19
2	Venezia	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	Como	8	5	2	1	+3	17
4	Cittadella	9	5	2	2	+2	17
5	Catanzaro	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Modena	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Palermo	9	4	1	4	+2	13
8	Cosenza	9	3	3	3	+4	12
9	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Sampdoria	8	4	0	4	+1	12
11	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Bari	8	2	5	1	-1	11
13	Ascoli	8	3	1	4	+1	10
14	Sudtirol	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Ternana	9	2	3	4	+0	9
16	Reggiana	9	1	6	2	-2	9
17	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Spezia	8	1	4	3	-2	7
19	Lecco	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Parma	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Palermo	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Venezia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Catanzaro	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Modena	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Cittadella	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Sudtirol	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Pisa	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Brescia	8	2	4	2	+1	10
13	Bari	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Lecco	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Spezia	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Ternana	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Cosenza	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.