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Serie B

Referee: G Ayroldi

Spezia

T U S U S

1–1

Full-time

Lecco

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Lecco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 20%

23%

16%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Spezia 16. · Lecco 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	31	19	8	4	+25	65
2	Cremonese	32	17	8	7	+16	59
3	Como	31	17	7	7	+12	58
4	Venezia	31	17	6	8	+20	57
5	Catanzaro	31	15	7	9	+10	52
6	Palermo	31	14	7	10	+10	49
7	Sampdoria	31	13	6	12	+0	45
8	Brescia	31	10	12	9	+3	42
9	Pisa	31	10	10	11	-1	40
10	Reggiana	31	8	16	7	-1	40
11	Cittadella	31	10	9	12	-5	39
12	Sudtirol	31	10	8	13	-2	38
13	Modena	31	8	14	9	-5	38
14	Bari	32	7	14	11	-9	35
15	Cosenza	31	8	10	13	-3	34
16	Spezia	31	7	13	11	-13	34
17	Ternana	31	8	8	15	-8	32
18	Ascoli	31	7	10	14	-5	31
19	FeralpiSalo	31	8	6	17	-14	30
20	Lecco	31	5	7	19	-30	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	16	10	4	2	+11	34
2	Venezia	16	10	3	3	+12	33
3	Parma	16	9	6	1	+11	33
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	16	7	5	4	+8	26
6	Palermo	15	8	1	6	+7	25
7	Cittadella	16	7	3	6	+3	24
8	Bari	16	5	7	4	+0	22
9	Sudtirol	15	6	3	6	+2	21
10	Brescia	15	5	6	4	+2	21
11	Pisa	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Sampdoria	16	6	3	7	+0	21
13	Modena	16	5	5	6	-1	20
14	Ascoli	15	4	6	5	+3	18
15	Ternana	16	4	6	6	+0	18
16	Spezia	15	4	6	5	-1	18
17	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	+1	17
18	Reggiana	15	2	10	3	-3	16
19	FeralpiSalo	15	3	3	9	-5	12
20	Lecco	15	3	2	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	16	10	3	3	+8	33
2	Parma	15	10	2	3	+14	32
3	Catanzaro	16	7	4	5	+2	25
4	Venezia	15	7	3	5	+8	24
5	Palermo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
6	Reggiana	16	6	6	4	+2	24
7	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
8	Sampdoria	15	7	3	5	+0	24
9	Brescia	16	5	6	5	+1	21
10	Pisa	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Modena	15	3	9	3	-4	18
12	FeralpiSalo	16	5	3	8	-9	18
13	Sudtirol	16	4	5	7	-4	17
14	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Spezia	16	3	7	6	-12	16
16	Cittadella	15	3	6	6	-8	15
17	Ternana	15	4	2	9	-8	14
18	Ascoli	16	3	4	9	-8	13
19	Bari	16	2	7	7	-9	13
20	Lecco	16	2	5	9	-17	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.