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Serie B

Referee: M Di Bello

Spezia

S U S U T

0–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 30%

21%

39%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

45%

58%

Both score Ø 61%

52%

70%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 4

1 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 17. · Sampdoria 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	34	20	10	4	+27	70
2	Como	34	20	7	7	+17	67
3	Venezia	33	18	7	8	+22	61
4	Cremonese	33	17	8	8	+15	59
5	Catanzaro	33	16	7	10	+11	55
6	Palermo	34	14	10	10	+10	52
7	Brescia	34	11	13	10	+3	46
8	Sampdoria	33	13	7	13	-1	46
9	Pisa	34	11	11	12	-1	44
10	Cittadella	33	11	10	12	-3	43
11	Sudtirol	33	11	9	13	-1	42
12	Modena	34	8	16	10	-7	40
13	Reggiana	34	8	16	10	-8	40
14	Cosenza	34	9	12	13	+1	39
15	Ternana	34	9	10	15	-7	37
16	Bari	34	7	15	12	-10	36
17	Spezia	33	7	14	12	-15	35
18	Ascoli	34	7	13	14	-5	34
19	FeralpiSalo	34	8	7	19	-19	31
20	Lecco	33	6	8	19	-29	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	17	11	4	2	+12	37
2	Venezia	17	11	3	3	+14	36
3	Parma	17	10	6	1	+13	36
4	Palermo	17	8	3	6	+7	27
5	Catanzaro	16	8	3	5	+7	27
6	Cremonese	17	7	5	5	+7	26
7	Brescia	17	6	7	4	+4	25
8	Cittadella	17	7	4	6	+3	25
9	Pisa	17	6	6	5	+3	24
10	Bari	17	5	8	4	+0	23
11	Sudtirol	16	6	4	6	+2	22
12	Sampdoria	17	6	3	8	-1	21
13	Ascoli	17	4	8	5	+3	20
14	Modena	17	5	5	7	-3	20
15	Ternana	17	4	7	6	+0	19
16	Spezia	16	4	7	5	-1	19
17	Cosenza	17	4	6	7	+1	18
18	Reggiana	17	2	10	5	-9	16
19	Lecco	16	4	2	10	-12	14
20	FeralpiSalo	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	4	3	+14	34
2	Cremonese	16	10	3	3	+8	33
3	Como	17	9	3	5	+5	30
4	Catanzaro	17	8	4	5	+4	28
5	Venezia	16	7	4	5	+8	25
6	Palermo	17	6	7	4	+3	25
7	Sampdoria	16	7	4	5	+0	25
8	Reggiana	17	6	6	5	+1	24
9	Cosenza	17	5	6	6	+0	21
10	Brescia	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Sudtirol	17	5	5	7	-3	20
12	Pisa	17	5	5	7	-4	20
13	Modena	17	3	11	3	-4	20
14	Cittadella	16	4	6	6	-6	18
15	Ternana	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	FeralpiSalo	17	5	3	9	-11	18
17	Spezia	17	3	7	7	-14	16
18	Ascoli	17	3	5	9	-8	14
19	Bari	17	2	7	8	-10	13
20	Lecco	17	2	6	9	-17	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.