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Serie B
Referee: L Marinelli
Cosenza
T U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
41%
66%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
12 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 15. · Palermo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 32 19 9 4 +25 66
2 Como 33 19 7 7 +14 64
3 Cremonese 33 17 8 8 +15 59
4 Venezia 32 17 7 8 +20 58
5 Catanzaro 33 16 7 10 +11 55
6 Palermo 32 14 8 10 +10 50
7 Sampdoria 33 13 7 13 -1 46
8 Brescia 32 11 12 9 +5 45
9 Pisa 33 11 10 12 -1 43
10 Cittadella 33 11 10 12 -3 43
11 Sudtirol 33 11 9 13 -1 42
12 Reggiana 32 8 16 8 -3 40
13 Modena 33 8 15 10 -7 39
14 Ternana 33 9 9 15 -7 36
15 Cosenza 32 8 11 13 -3 35
16 Bari 33 7 14 12 -10 35
17 Spezia 32 7 14 11 -13 35
18 Ascoli 33 7 12 14 -5 33
19 FeralpiSalo 33 8 7 18 -16 31
20 Lecco 32 5 8 19 -30 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Palermo
44′
A. Buttaro 0–1
K. Lund
Half-time 0–1
V. Crespi 🔁
↦ M. Praszelik
55′
1–1 G. Tutino
62′
63′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ L. Henderson
63′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ L. Mancuso
S. Mazzocchi 🔁
↦ L. Canotto
73′
I. Voca 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
73′
Giacomo Calò 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 J. Segre
↦ M. Brunori
78′
🔁 G. Aurelio
↦ K. Lund
85′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ F. Di Francesco
A. Florenzi 🔁
↦ F. Zuccon
86′
F. Forte 🔁
↦ G. Tutino
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-5-2
1 A. Micai G
23 M. Venturi D
5 M. Camporese D
13 A. Meroni D
31 L. Canotto M
98 F. Zuccon M
14 G. Calò M
26 M. Praszelik M
99 G. Frabotta M
9 G. Tutino F
16 M. Antonucci F
Bench (12)
19 V. Crespi
30 S. Mazzocchi
42 I. Voca
34 A. Florenzi
10 F. Forte
6 A. Fontanarosa
77 L. Marson
17 B. Cimino
12 A. Lai
18 B. Gyamfi
24 M. Viviani
11 T. D'Orazio

Coach: W. Viali

Palermo

3-4-1-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 S. Diakité D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
25 A. Buttaro M
53 L. Henderson M
4 C. Gomes M
3 K. Lund M
17 F. Di Francesco F
7 L. Mancuso F
9 M. Brunori F
Bench (11)
80 M. Coulibaly
27 E. Soleri
8 J. Segre
31 G. Aurelio
11 R. Insigne
1 S. Desplanches
15 I. Marconi
2 S. Graves
70 C. Traorè
13 A. Kanurić
6 L. Štulac

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
U ✓
3,21
B
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.