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Serie B

Referee: A Giua

Palermo

T T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Sampdoria

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 44%

45%

42%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

65%

58%

Both score Ø 65%

58%

71%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 6. · Sampdoria 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	32	19	9	4	+25	66
2	Cremonese	32	17	8	7	+16	59
3	Como	31	17	7	7	+12	58
4	Venezia	31	17	6	8	+20	57
5	Catanzaro	31	15	7	9	+10	52
6	Palermo	31	14	7	10	+10	49
7	Brescia	32	11	12	9	+5	45
8	Sampdoria	31	13	6	12	+0	45
9	Reggiana	31	8	16	7	-1	40
10	Pisa	32	10	10	12	-3	40
11	Sudtirol	32	10	9	13	-2	39
12	Modena	32	8	15	9	-5	39
13	Cittadella	31	10	9	12	-5	39
14	Cosenza	32	8	11	13	-3	35
15	Bari	32	7	14	11	-9	35
16	Spezia	32	7	14	11	-13	35
17	Ternana	32	8	9	15	-8	33
18	Ascoli	31	7	10	14	-5	31
19	FeralpiSalo	32	8	7	17	-14	31
20	Lecco	32	5	8	19	-30	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	16	10	4	2	+11	34
2	Venezia	16	10	3	3	+12	33
3	Parma	16	9	6	1	+11	33
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	16	7	5	4	+8	26
6	Palermo	15	8	1	6	+7	25
7	Brescia	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Cittadella	16	7	3	6	+3	24
9	Sudtirol	16	6	4	6	+2	22
10	Bari	16	5	7	4	+0	22
11	Pisa	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Sampdoria	16	6	3	7	+0	21
13	Modena	16	5	5	6	-1	20
14	Ternana	17	4	7	6	+0	19
15	Spezia	16	4	7	5	-1	19
16	Ascoli	15	4	6	5	+3	18
17	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	+1	17
18	Reggiana	15	2	10	3	-3	16
19	FeralpiSalo	16	3	4	9	-5	13
20	Lecco	15	3	2	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	16	10	3	3	+14	33
2	Cremonese	16	10	3	3	+8	33
3	Catanzaro	16	7	4	5	+2	25
4	Venezia	15	7	3	5	+8	24
5	Palermo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
6	Reggiana	16	6	6	4	+2	24
7	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
8	Sampdoria	15	7	3	5	+0	24
9	Brescia	16	5	6	5	+1	21
10	Modena	16	3	10	3	-4	19
11	Pisa	16	5	4	7	-4	19
12	Cosenza	16	4	6	6	-4	18
13	FeralpiSalo	16	5	3	8	-9	18
14	Sudtirol	16	4	5	7	-4	17
15	Spezia	16	3	7	6	-12	16
16	Cittadella	15	3	6	6	-8	15
17	Ternana	15	4	2	9	-8	14
18	Ascoli	16	3	4	9	-8	13
19	Bari	16	2	7	7	-9	13
20	Lecco	17	2	6	9	-17	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.