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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Red Star
T T S S T
0–3
Full-time
Laval
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Laval
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Red Star 12. · Laval 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 4 3 0 1 +5 9
2 Paris FC 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Lorient 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Pau FC 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Metz 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Bastia 4 2 2 0 +2 8
7 Annecy 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Grenoble 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Ajaccio 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Amiens 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Dunkerque 4 2 0 2 -1 6
12 Red Star 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Clermont 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Martigues 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Laval 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Caen 4 0 1 3 -5 1
17 Troyes 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Rodez 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Red Star Laval
15′
M. Sellouki 0–1
S. Doucouré
Josue Escartin 🟨
20′
37′
M. Sellouki 0–2
S. Doucouré
44′
🟨 Mamadou Camara
Half-time 0–2
K. Cissé 🔁
↦ I. Botella
46′
D. Durivaux 🔁
↦ F. Doucouré
46′
H. Benali 🔁
↦ F. Dembi
46′
68′
🔁 M. Tchokounté
↦ S. Doucouré
69′
M. Sellouki 0–3
M. Tchokounté
A. El Hriti 🔁
↦ B. Danger
75′
A. Fall 🔁
↦ M. Ifnaoui
75′
79′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ M. Sellouki
79′
🔁 W. Kokolo
↦ M. Camara
Aniss El Hriti 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 J. Roye
↦ T. Thomas
84′
🔁 A. Gonçalves
↦ T. Vargas
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Red Star

3-4-2-1
1 Q. Beunardeau G
5 J. Escartin D
27 B. Danger D
28 L. Kouagba D
13 F. Doucouré M
26 F. Dembi M
97 S. Renel M
98 R. Hachem M
10 M. Ifnaoui F
7 D. Durand F
17 I. Botella F
Bench (7)
11 K. Cissé
20 D. Durivaux
29 H. Benali
93 A. El Hriti
9 A. Fall
30 W. Avognan
12 V. Kany

Coach: H. Beye

Laval

5-3-2
30 M. Samassa G
7 T. Vargas D
21 O. Kouassi D
23 Yohan Tavares D
15 P. Ouaneh D
20 A. Cherni D
19 M. Sellouki M
8 T. Thomas M
6 S. Sanna M
22 S. Doucouré F
9 M. Camara F
Bench (7)
18 M. Tchokounté
10 K. Zohi
17 W. Kokolo
4 J. Roye
39 A. Gonçalves
1 M. Hautbois
5 M. Adiléhou

Coach: O. Frapolli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,19
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.