Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: S Storks

Augsburg

T S U T S

2–3

Full-time

Mainz

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Augsburg Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,46 xG 0,84

73% Possession 27%

30 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Augsburg 11. · Mainz 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.0	9
2	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.5	7
3	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.3	7
4	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.9	6
5	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+3	+5.1	6
6	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+1	+3.5	6
7	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.8	6
8	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
9	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.0	5
10	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.5	4
11	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.7	4
12	Wolfsburg	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.2	3
13	M'gladbach	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.4	3
14	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
15	Mainz	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.6	2
16	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.8	0
17	St Pauli	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-8	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+3	+4.1	6
3	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.7	4
4	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
5	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.4	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
8	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	3
10	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
14	Wolfsburg	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
15	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
16	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.4	6
2	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
3	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
6	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
7	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
9	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
10	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
11	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
12	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
13	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
17	St Pauli	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.